Abstract:Model Altman is one of the models used to predict financial distress. Some of the results of research that conducted in Indonesia showed that Altman model is completely accurate in predicting financial distress but the other found the opposite results. This inconsistency indicates the need to adapt the model by checking whether variables affect Altman model in financial distress companies in Indonesia and the adjustment coefficients Altman to be able to better predict about financial distress. The results showed that the partial test working capital/total assets, retained earnings to total assets, and earning before interest and tax to total assets were able to classify the company's financial distress. However, the model that formed by five variables were able to classify financial distress well with an accuracy of 87.8%.
<p><em>ABSTRACT</em></p><p><em>In carrying out its activities, the company needs funds or capital originating from internal and external. Source of internal funds derived from capital contributions owner while external funding sources can be obtained through the sale of shares to the public in the capital market. Important information about a company's cash flow is very useful for users of financial statements as a basis for assessing the company's ability to generate cash and cash equivalents, as well as a basis for assessing how the company uses cash flow. Furthermore, this study aimed to analyze the effect of cash flows to profitability and stock performance. Using SEM-PLS, the study was used 51 of 100 enterprises listed on Compas 100 that have met the criteria such as manufacturing companies listed on the IDX during the period 2013 to 2016, the company has never been delisted during the observation period, companies that publish the financial statements in rupiah currency and the company has a complete datas on the financial statements during the period of observation. Variables used in this study was changes in operating cash flow, changes in cash flow investments, changes in cash flow funding, return on asset, return on equity, net profit margin, changes of stock performence, Earning per Share, and Price Earning Ratio. Furthermore, SEM’s test results found that cash flows has positively significant influence profitability and performance stock, profitability has positively significant influence performance stock. These findings implied that investors need to consider the enterprise cash flows and profitability analysis, before deciding to make investment in order to earn maximum and poisitive revenue.</em></p><p><em><br /></em></p><p><em>A</em>BSTRAK</p><p>Dalam menjalankan kegiatannya, perusahaan membutuhkan dana atau modal yang berasal dari internal dan eksternal. Sumber dana internal berasal dari setoran modal pemilik sedangkan sumber dana eksternal dapat diperoleh perusahaan melalui penjualan saham kepada masyarakat di pasar modal untuk menjaga arus kas perusahaan. Secara teori informasi penting tentang arus kas suatu perusahaan sangat berguna bagi pemakai laporan keuangan sebagai dasar dalam menilai kemampuan perusahaan dalam menghasilkan kas dan setara kas, juga sebagai dasar untuk menilai penggunaan arus kas di perusahaan tersebut, namun teori ini sering terbantahkan dengan perilaku investor untuk berinvestasi di bursa yang lebih memperhatikan perolehan laba perusahaan dari pada ketersediaan arus kas. Oleh karena itu penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh arus kas terhadap profitabilitas dan kinerja saham. Metode yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah SEM-PLS, penelitian ini menggunakan sampel 51 perusahaan dari 100 perusahaan yang terdaftar di Kompas 100 yang telah memenuhi kriteria seperti perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia selama periode 2013 sampai 2016, perusahaan tersebut tidak pernah dihapus dan keluar daftar selama periode pengamatan, perusahaan laporan keuangan disajikan dalam mata uang rupiah demikian juga perusahaan memiliki data secara lengkap tentang laporan keuangan selama periode pengamatan. Variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah variabel laten arus kas dengan indikator perubahan arus kas operasi, perubahan arus kas investasi, dan perubahan arus kas pendanaan, variabel laten profitabilitas dengan indikator return on asset, return on equity, net profit margin, dan variabel laten kinerja saham yang digunakan dengan indikator return saham, earning per share, dan price earning ratio. Hasil uji SEM-PLS menghasilkan bahwa arus kas memiliki pengaruh positif signifikan terhadap profitabilitas dan kinerja saham, dan profitabilitas berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap kinerja saham. Hasil penelitian ini menghasilkan dan merekomendasikan kepada calon investor di bursa saham, bahwa sebelum mengambil keputusan investasi sebaiknya perlu mempertimbangkan analisa likuiditas perusahaan dengan arus kas dan analisa kinerja perusahaan dengan profitabilitas, yang kemudian dapat memutuskan untuk melakukan investasi pada perusahaan di Bursa Efek Indonesia guna memperoleh pendapatan yang positif dan maksimal.</p>
<p><em>Capital market </em><em>is</em><em> a </em><em>meeting </em><em>place for pe</em><em>ople</em><em> who h</em><em>ave</em><em> excess money </em><em>and those</em><em> who </em><em>need money</em><em> </em><em>for </em><em> transaction of security. Every investor need</em><em>s </em><em>optimal profits with minimal risk. Portfolio is basically related to how one allocates a number of stocks into various investment types that results </em><em>i</em><em>n optimal profits. By making diversification, investor</em><em>s</em><em> may reduce the rate of risk and at the sametime optimize the rate of expected return. Based on this case this research raises the problem of how to design an optimal portfolio simulation. i.e. a combination of liquid shares LQ 45 list ini Indonesia</em><em>n</em><em> Stock Exchange in the period of 2009-2011 by using two method</em><em>s</em><em>, using Single Index Model and Indexing. Single index Model is a model of portfolio analysis using the account of Excess Return to Beta (ERB) ratio and value of C* to gain optimal shares on portfolio. The procedure of indexing is </em><em>to </em><em>make </em><em>one’s</em><em> own group i.e liquid LQ 45 calculat</em><em>ing</em><em> the risk and return then compare the result with Single Index Model, the procedure </em><em>of</em><em> all securities are ranked by ERB instead of Excess Return to Risk</em><em> (ERR)</em><em>. After securities </em><em>were</em><em> ranked using the above ratio, securities with greater Excess return to standart deviation and cut off point (C*) </em><em>we</em><em>re included into the optimal portfolio. The conclu</em><em>sion</em><em> of this research </em><em>is that it is </em><em>better to choose Single Index Model as the methode result</em><em>ing i</em><em>n optimal profits. </em><em></em></p><em>Keyword: Optimum portfolio, LQ 45, single index, indexing</em>
ABSTRAKPengungkapan Corporate Social Resposibility (CSR) di Indonesia masih rendah karena masih bersifat sukarela. Pengungkapan CSR diharapkan meningkatkan pandangan positif terhadap perusahaan dan menarik minat investor untuk berinvestasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan: (1) Menganalisis pengaruh pengungkapan CSR terhadap kinerja finansial perusahaan pada indeks saham LQ45 (2) Menganalisis pengaruh pengungkapan CSR terhadap kinerja saham perusahaan pada indeks saham LQ45 dan (3) Menganalisis pengaruh kinerja finansial terhadap kinerja saham perusahaan pada indeks saham LQ45. Penelitian ini menggunakan data laporan tahunan dan laporan keuangan perusahaan contoh penelitian tahun 2013. Pengujian hubungan pengaruh CSR terhadap nilai perusahaan menggunakan Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) Hasil penelitian menunjukkan indikator valid sebagai alat ukur konstruk CSR pada indeks saham LQ45 adalah indikator lingkungan, dan masyarakat, dimana indikator ekonomi, Hak Asasi Manusia (HAM), sosial dan tanggung jawab produk tidak valid. Indikator kinerja finansial yang valid sebagai alat ukur konstruk adalah Return On Assets (ROA) sedangkan Debt to Assets Ratio (DAR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Net Profit Margin (NPM) dan Return On Equity (ROE) tidak valid sebagai alat ukur konstruk. Indikator Price to Book Value (PBV) valid sebagai alat ukur konstruk kinerja saham tetapi Earning Per Share (EPS) tidak valid. Dari hasil pengujian hipotesis terlihat CSR tidak berpengaruh nyata terhadap kinerja finansial dan berhubungan negatif, Pengungkapan CSR tidak berpengaruh nyata terhadap kinerja saham dan berhubungan negatif. Tetapi kinerja finansial berpengaruh nyata terhadap kinerja saham dan berhubungan positif.Kata kunci: corporate social responsibilty, indeks saham LQ45, nilai perusahaan ABSTRACT CSR disclosure in Indonesia were still low and voluntary. CSR disclosure is expected to increase positive image of the company and attract investors to invest. This study aims: (1) analyze the effect of CSR disclosure toward corporate financial performance of LQ45 stock index (2) analyze the effect of CSR disclosure toward corporate stock performance of LQ45 stock index and (3) analyze the effect of financial performance toward corporate stock performance of LQ45 stock index. This study used the annual report and financial report of the sample companies on 2013. Test of relationship influences of CSR disclosure toward corporate value were measured by Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). The results of this study showed valid indicators as a measurement construct of CSR disclosure in the LQ45 stock index were environment and society but economic, Human Rights (HAM), social and product responsibility indicators were invalid. Valid indicators of financial performance as a measurement constructs were ROA but DER, DAR, NPM, and ROE were invalid. While PBV was valid as a measure of stock performance construct but EPS were invalid. The results of hypothesis testing explained CSR disclosure were not ______________ *) Korespondensi:Jl. Kamper, Kampus IPB ...
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