Background Impact and efficiency of oral cancer and oral potentially malignant disorders screening are most realized in “at‐risk” individuals. However, tools that can provide essential knowledge on individuals' risks are not applied in risk‐based screening. This study aims to optimize a simplified risk scoring system for risk stratification in organized oral cancer and oral potentially malignant disorders screening. Methods Participants were invited to attend a community‐based oral cancer and oral potentially malignant disorders screening program in Hong Kong. Visual oral examination was performed for all attendees and information on sociodemographic characteristics as well as habitual, lifestyle, familial, and comorbidity risk factors were obtained. Individuals' status of those found to have suspicious lesions following biopsy and histopathology were classified as positive/negative and this outcome was used in a multiple logistic regression analysis with variables collected during screening. Odds ratio weightings were then used to develop a simplified risk scoring system which was validated in an external cohort. Results Of 979 participants, 4.5% had positive status following confirmatory diagnosis. A 12‐variable simplified risk scoring system with weightings was generated with an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.82, 0.71, and 0.78 for delineating high‐risk cases. Further optimization on the validation cohort of 491 participants yielded a sensitivity and specificity of 0.75 and 0.87 respectively. Conclusions The simplified risk scoring system was able to stratify oral cancer and oral potentially malignant disorders risk with satisfactory sensitivity and specificity and can be applied in risk‐based disease screening.
Objectives To investigate the risk and prognosis of oral squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) between Indigenous and non-Indigenous populations of Queensland. Materials and methods Retrospective analysis of data from the Queensland Cancer Registry (QCR) between the years 1982–2018. Main outcome measures were age at diagnosis and cumulative survival to compare the risk and prognosis of oral SCC between the populations. Results 9424 patients with self-declared ethnicity were identified with oral SCC from the QCR, with a male to female ratio of 2.56:1. Of these patients, 9132 were non-Indigenous (96.9%) and 292 Indigenous (3.1%). Indigenous people were significantly younger at diagnosis (mean (SD) age 54.3 (10.1) years), compared to 62.0 (12.1) years in non-Indigenous people. Mean survival in the full cohort was 4.3 years (SD: 5.6), with Indigenous people presenting a significant shorter mean survival of 2.0 years (SD: 3.5) when compared with 4.4 years (SD: 5.7) in non-Indigenous people (p < 0.001). Conclusions Indigenous Australians are diagnosed at a significantly younger age and present with worse survival and poorer prognosis. Due to missing variables in the Queensland Cancer Registry, it is not possible in the current study to ascertain the scientific or social reasons behind these disparities. Clinical relevance Results from this study can inform public policy and raise awareness in Queensland regarding disparity in oral cancer prognosis.
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