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MSNBurr and MSTBurr distribution have been developed as Neo-Normal distributions that represent a relaxation of normality. The difference between them is that the MSTBurr’s peak is below MSNBurr’s. In this paper, we propose a MSEPBurr distribution with its peak could be not only lower but also high-er than MSNBurr. Furthermore, we study several properties of MSEPBurr, such as mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and quantile. The MSEPBurr parameters are estimated by using the Bayesian approach with the BUGS language implementation for its computation. We employ simulation study and use existing data to illustrate the application of the regression model. In real data, we notice that MSEPBurr has similar performance with MSNBurr and MSTBurr that they outperform Normal and Student-t distribution in Australian athlete data because their skewness can accommodate long left tail excellently. However, their performance is less than the Student-t model in chemical reaction rate data because their skewness can not accommodate long right tail perfectly. Although in general their perfor-mance is the same,  we observe that the MSEPBurr performs better than the MSNBurr and the MSTBurr in some simulated data.

Ekspor kopi di Indonesia hingga kini masih didominasi oleh biji kopi, tetapi nilai ekspor biji kopi terus menurun. Sebaliknya, ekspor Produk Olahan Kopi Indonesia (POKI) cenderung meningkat selama periode 2015-2019. Namun, ekspor POKI masih didominasi ke satu negara, yaitu Filipina, sehingga ekspornya sangat terpengaruh dengan kondisi negara tersebut. Hal ini menyebabkan ekspor POKI rentan tidak stabil. Oleh karena itu, perlu dilakukan diversifikasi pasar terhadap ekspor POKI. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis tingkat diversifikasi pasar ekspor POKI dan daya saing ekspornya ke beberapa negara emerging market tujuan diversifikasi selama periode 2010-2019. Ukuran yang digunakan yaitu Indeks Hirschman, Revealed Comparative Advantage, Export Product Dynamic, dan X-Model. Hasilnya, diketahui bahwa diversifikasi pasar ekspor POKI secara agregat belum cukup baik. Selain itu, daya saing ekspor POKI ke beberapa negara tujuan emerging market sudah cukup baik dengan posisi yang strategis. Berdasarkan hasil X-model, diperoleh lima negara yang secara optimis dapat menjadi tujuan diversifikasi.

No abstract