Gold, whether held in physical form or through financial claims, is of utmost importance to investors, central bankers, and sovereign nations alike. Yet empirically validated explanations of its volatile price remain elusive. Without an ex-post understanding of the determinants of gold prices, ex-ante forecasting is a fruitless endeavor. In this research, an index of US and European economic policy uncertainty is incorporated into a short-run pricing model for gold. The results suggest that in addition to gold being a hedge against inflation, increases in economic policy uncertainty contribute to increases in the price of gold.
While universities nationwide continue to revamp policies, increase penalties, and work harder to detect cheating, large numbers of students continue to admit to cheating. This paper examines student cheating in relation to students' perceptions of severity of punishment and certainty of punishment. Results indicate that increased perception of fellow students reporting cheating reduces cheating at both the extensive margin (decision to cheat) and the intensive margin (decision about how much to cheat). These results indicate that it is up to the students to police themselves.
Local jurisdictions across the country continue to adopt alternative financing options, although the effects of these remain uncertain. There are two views of impact fees: (a) an old view, that fees are a tax on development increasing prices and reducing quantity and (b) a new view, that fees provide services and reduce future taxes, thus increasing demand and prices. The research presented in this study, based on data from Florida counties, finds that the relationship between fees on commercial development and fees on employment differs across different categories of economic activity. The use of fees is positively related to service-sector employment growth and negatively related to manufacturing employment growth. This result suggests that different sectors realize different levels of benefits from infrastructure provided through fee revenue and that policy decisions based on total employment may suffer from overaggregations and lead to unintended consequences.
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