Determining the ideal size of maintenance staff is a daunting task, especially in the operation of large and complex mechanical systems such as thermal power plants. On the one hand, a significant investment in maintenance is necessary to maintain the availability of the system. On the other hand, it can significantly affect the profit of the plant. Several mathematical modeling techniques have been used in many different ways to predict and improve the availability and reliability of such systems. This work uses a modeling tool called generalized stochastic Petri net (GSPN) in a new way, aiming to determine the effect that the number of maintenance teams has on the availability and performance of a coal-fired power plant cooling tower. The results obtained through the model are confronted with a thermodynamic analysis of the cooling tower that shows the influence of this system’s performance on the efficiency of the power plant. Thus, it is possible to determine the optimal size of the repair team in order to maximize the plant’s performance with the least possible investment in maintenance personnel.
Failure mode and symptoms analysis (FMSA) is a relatively new and still not very much employed variation of failure modes, effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), a technique broadly used in reliability, safety, and quality engineering. While FMECA is an extension of the well-known failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) method, primarily used when a criticality analysis is required, FMSA focuses on the symptoms produced by each considered failure mode and the selection of the most appropriate detection and monitoring techniques and strategies, maximizing the confidence level in the diagnosis and prognosis. However, in the same way as FMECA and FMEA, FMSA inherits some deficiencies, presenting somewhat biased results and uncertainties intrinsic to its development, due to its own algorithm and the dependence on knowledge-based inputs from experts. Accordingly, this article presents a fuzzy logic application as a complement to FMSA in order to mitigate such uncertainties' effects. As a practical example, the method is applied to a Kaplan turbine shaft system. The monitoring priority number (MPN) obtained through FMSA is compared to the fuzzy monitoring priority number (FMPN) resulting from fuzzy logic application, demonstrating how the proposed method improves the evaluation of detection and monitoring techniques and strategies.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.