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The Brexit vote took place three days before the June 26, 2016, Spain's parliamentary elections, in which anti-systemic parties performed worse compared to the previous elections (December 2015) despite the optimistic predictions of the pre-election polls. We split the Spanish votes in local ones (casted after Brexit) and postal ones (casted before Brexit) and-by employing a differences-indifferences model a la Montalvo (2011)-we provide causal evidence suggesting that the electoral performance of the anti-systemic parties deteriorated due to the uncertainty/fear caused to the Spanish electorate by the Brexit vote.

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The Brexit vote took place three days before the June 26, 2016, Spain's parliamentary elections, in which anti-systemic parties performed worse compared to the previous elections (December 2015) despite the optimistic predictions of the pre-election polls. We split the Spanish votes in local ones (casted after Brexit) and postal ones (casted before Brexit) and -by employing a differences-in-differences model a la Montalvo (2011)-we provide causal evidence suggesting that the electoral performance of the anti-systemic parties deteriorated due to the uncertainty/fear caused to the Spanish electorate by the Brexit vote.