Abstract. By accurate predicting of pipe bursts, it is possible to schedule pipe maintenance, rehabilitation and improve the level of services in water distribution networks (WDNs). In this study, we aimed to implement five artificial intelligence and machine learning regression models such as multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), M5' regression tree (M5'), Least square support vector regression (LS-SVR), fuzzy regression based on c-means clustering (FCMR) and regressive convolution neural network with support vector regression (RCNN-SVR) for predicting pipe burst rate and evaluating the performance of these models. The most effective parameters for regression models are pipes age, diameter, depth of installation, length, average and maximum hydraulic pressure. In the present study, collected data include 158 cases for polyethylene (PE) and 124 cases for asbestos cement (AC) pipes during 2012-2019. The results indicate that the RCNN-SVR model has a great performance of pipe burst rate (PBR) prediction.

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