Studies of real complex physical and engineering problems represented by multiscale and multiphysics computer simulations have an increasing demand for computing power. The demand is driven by the increasing scales and complexity of the scientific problems investigated or the time constraints. Ultrascale computing systems could offer the computing power required to solve these problems. Future ultrascale systems will be large-scale complex computing systems combining technologies from high performance computing, distributed systems, big data, and cloud computing. The challenge of developing and programming complex algorithms that can efficiently perform on such systems is twofold. Firstly, the complex computer simulations have to be either developed from scratch, or redesigned in order to yield high performance, while retaining correct functional behaviour. Secondly, ultrascale computing systems impose a number of non-functional cross-cutting concerns, such as fault tolerance or energy consumption, which can significantly impact the deployment of applications on large complex computing systems. This article discusses the state-of-the-art of programming for current and future large-scale computing systems with an emphasis on complex applications. We derive a number of requirements regarding programming and execution support by studying several computationally demanding applications that the authors are currently developing and discuss their potential and necessary upgrades for ultrascale execution on ultrascale facilities.Keywords: sustainable ultrascale systems, impact factors on applications, multiscale and multiphysics applications, computational modelling.
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