Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected via pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) metapopulation model where the epidemic process in each patch is represented by an SIR model and the mobility of individuals is assumed to be a homogeneous diffusion. We consider two types of patches including high-risk and low-risk ones under the assumption that a local patch is changed from a high-risk one to a low-risk one by an intervention. We theoretically analyze the intervention threshold which indicates the critical fraction of low-risk patches for preventing a global epidemic outbreak. We show that an intervention targeted to highdegree patches is more effective for epidemic control than a random intervention. The theoretical results are validated by Monte Carlo simulations for synthetic and realistic scale-free patch networks. The theoretical results also reveal that the intervention threshold depends on the human mobility network and the mobility rate. Our approach is useful for exploring better local interventions aimed at containment of epidemics.

Rhythmic activity is ubiquitous in biological systems from the cellular to organism level. Reconstructing the instantaneous phase is the first step in analyzing the essential mechanism leading to a synchronization state from the observed signals. A popular method of phase reconstruction is based on the Hilbert transform, which can only reconstruct the interpretable phase from a limited class of signals, e.g., narrow band signals. To address this issue, we propose an extended Hilbert transform method that accurately reconstructs the phase from various oscillatory signals. The proposed method is developed by analyzing the reconstruction error of the Hilbert transform method with the aid of Bedrosian’s theorem. We validate the proposed method using synthetic data and show its systematically improved performance compared with the conventional Hilbert transform method with respect to accurately reconstructing the phase. Finally, we demonstrate that the proposed method is potentially useful for detecting the phase shift in an observed signal. The proposed method is expected to facilitate the study of synchronization phenomena from experimental data.