Background Till May 2022 there were 1.06 million of COVID-19 cases and 9108 deaths caused by COVID-19 disease registered in Lithuania. The objective of the study was to evaluate prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality of patients with severe COVID-19 disease. Methods COVID-19 positive adult patients hospitalized in Vilnius University Hospital Santaros Klinikos, Lithuania, were included in the cohort study between March 2020 and December 2021. Medical history, vital signs were collected, laboratory tests, chest X-ray were performed. Severe COVID-19 disease was defined as pneumonia with objective respiratory failure symptoms. ROC curve was used to evaluate prognostic value of a laboratory test, multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the prognostic factors for in-hospital lethal outcome. p-value < 0.05 was considered significant. Results Severe COVID-19 disease was diagnosed for 291 participants, 21 (7.2%) of them died. Hematological, lung diseases and cancer were more common among patients who died compared to those who recovered (Table 1). Patients who died were older, more frequently had confusion (25.0% vs 5.2%, p=0.001), tachypnea (57.1% vs 26.7%, p=0.003), and dyspnea (81.0% vs 54.1%, p=0.017), their time median from symptoms onset to admission was shorter (2.5 (IQR 0-7) vs 7 (IQR 4-9) days, p< 0.001) compared those who recovered. On admission, patients who died had lower lymphocytes count, higher neutrophiles count and higher concentration of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), lactate, creatinine and urea compared to those who recovered. The best prognostic features for lethal outcome possessed neutrophiles count, AST, lactate, creatinine and urea (Figure 1). Optimal cut-off values were calculated and included into multivariable regression model. Multivariable regression revealed that hematological diseases (OR 8.68; 95% CI 1.46-51.40, p=0.017), initial AST > 32.9 U/l (OR 13.57; 95% CI 1.46-125.94, p=0.022), lactate > 1.46 mmol/l (OR 4.87; 95% CI 1.03-22.86, p=0.045) were associated with in-hospital mortality of patients with severe COVID-19 adjusted for age. Conclusion Hematological diseases, elevated AST and lactate are significant prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality of patients with severe COVID-19 disease at earlier stages of disease. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2025 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.