Genetic instability in cancer is a two-edge sword. It can both increase the rate of cancer progression (by increasing the probability of cancerous mutations) and decrease the rate of cancer growth (by imposing a large death toll on dividing cells). Two of the many selective pressures acting upon a tumour, the need for variability and the need to minimize deleterious mutations, affect the tumour's 'choice' of a stable or unstable 'strategy'. As cancer progresses, the balance of the two pressures will change. In this paper, we examine how the optimal strategy of cancerous cells is shaped by the changing selective pressures. We consider the two most common patterns in multistage carcinogenesis: the activation of an oncogene (a one-step process) and an inactivation of a tumour-suppressor gene (a two-step process). For these, we formulate an optimal control problem for the mutation rate in cancer cells. We then develop a method to find optimal time-dependent strategies. It turns out that for a wide range of parameters, the most successful strategy is to start with a high rate of mutations and then switch to stability. This agrees with the growing biological evidence that genetic instability, prevalent in early cancers, turns into stability later on in the progression. We also identify parameter regimes where it is advantageous to keep stable (or unstable) constantly throughout the growth.
A class of problems in air traffic management (ATM) asks for a scheduling algorithm that supplies the air traffic services authority not only with a schedule of arrivals and departures but also with speed advisories. Since advisories must be finite, a scheduling algorithm must ultimately produce a finite data set, hence must either start with a purely discrete model or involve a discretization of a continuous one. The former choice, often preferred for intuitive clarity, naturally leads to mixed-integer programs (MIPs), hindering proofs of correctness and computational cost bounds (crucial for real-time operations). In this paper, a hybrid control system is used to model air traffic scheduling, capturing both the discrete and continuous aspects. This framework is applied to a class of problems, called the fully routed nominal problem. We prove a number of geometric results on feasible schedules and use these results to formulate an algorithm that attempts to compute a collective speed advisory, effectively piecewise linear with finitely many vertices, and has computational cost polynomial in the number of aircraft. This work is a first step toward optimization and models refined with more realistic detail.
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