Background and Purpose— Several risk factors are known to increase mid- and long-term mortality of ischemic stroke patients. Information on predictors of early stroke mortality is scarce but often requested in clinical practice. We therefore aimed to develop a rapidly applicable tool for predicting early mortality at the stroke unit. Methods— We used data from the nationwide Austrian Stroke Unit Registry and multivariate regularized logistic regression analysis to identify demographic and clinical variables associated with early (≤7 days poststroke) mortality of patients admitted with ischemic stroke. These variables were then used to develop the Predicting Early Mortality of Ischemic Stroke score that was validated both by bootstrapping and temporal validation. Results— In total, 77 653 ischemic stroke patients were included in the analysis (median age: 74 years, 47% women). The mortality rate at the stroke unit was 2% and median stay of deceased patients was 3 days. Age, stroke severity measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, prestroke functional disability (modified Rankin Scale >0), preexisting heart disease, diabetes mellitus, posterior circulation stroke syndrome, and nonlacunar stroke cause were associated with mortality and served to build the Predicting Early Mortality of Ischemic Stroke score ranging from 0 to 12 points. The area under the curve of the score was 0.879 (95% CI, 0.871–0.886) in the derivation cohort and 0.884 (95% CI, 0.863–0.905) in the validation sample. Patients with a score ≥10 had a 35% (95% CI, 28%–43%) risk to die within the first days at the stroke unit. Conclusions— We developed a simple score to estimate early mortality of ischemic stroke patients treated at a stroke unit. This score could help clinicians in short-term prognostication for management decisions and counseling.

Therapeutic effect of recombinant tissue-plasminogen activator (rt-PA) is time dependent. There is limited evidence whether localization of stroke within the posterior circulation (PCS) is associated with a treatment delay. We aimed to analyze within a nationwide multicenter cohort whether duration of pre- and intra-hospital patient management differs between patients with PCS and anterior circulation strokes (ACS). We studied onset-to-door-times (ODT) and door-to-needle-times (DNT) of all patients with acute ischemic stroke (IS) enrolled in the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry according to infarct localization. Classification into PCS and ACS was based on clinical presentation applying the criteria used in the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project. Relationships between ODT, respectively, DNT and explanatory variables were modeled by multivariate linear regression. Between 2003 and 2015, 71010 patients with IS were enrolled, 11,924 with PCS and 59,086 with ACS. Overall, the ODT was significantly longer in PCS: median (IQR): 170 (25th, 75th‰: 79,420) min versus 110 (60,240); p < 0.001; this finding held true in multivariable analysis. In 10535 rt-PA-treated patients (1022 PCS/9832 ACS), ODT and DNT were significantly longer among those with PCS: ODT: median: 80 min (55,120) versus 72 (50,110), p < 0.001; DNT: 57 (35.90) versus 45 (30.67), p < 0.001. In the multivariate model, PCS was significantly associated with delay in the DNT. In conclusion, in this large nationwide cohort, patient management was significantly slower in PCS as compared to ACS. Increasing awareness about these delays and further elaboration of the underlying causes may translate into higher proportions of patients with PCS receiving rt-PA.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00415-016-8330-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Background and Purpose— Frequencies of treatment with r-tPA (recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator) are increasing over the past 15 years. However, published data on the influence of various demographic and clinical factors on r-tPA treatment as well as estimates of future trajectories are limited. We evaluated time trends and future trajectories of r-tPA treatment in patients with acute stroke and the influence of various factors on r-tPA treatment by analyzing data of 103 970 patients enrolled in the Austrian Stroke Unit Registry from 2006 to 2018, of which 18 953 were treated with r-tPA. Methods— Time trends of r-tPA-treatment were investigated in predefined subgroups (minor/major stroke, age, anterior/posterior circulation stroke); limited exponential time series models were calculated to estimate future trends of r-tPA-treatment. Logistic regression models were calculated to estimate the influence of clinical variables on r-tPA-treatment. Results— Overall, r-tPA treatment frequencies increased from 9.9% in 2006 to 21.8% in 2018. We observed a particular increase in patients >80 years, patients presenting with a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale Score of 2 to 3, patients with posterior circulation stroke, patients with wake-up stroke, and patients without atrial fibrillation. Forecast of overall r-tPA frequencies predicted a further but flattened increase up to 24% by 2025. Logistic regression of time-dependent associations of clinical variables with r-tPA-treatment revealed increasing odds of r-tPA-treatment in patients with a posterior circulation stroke and decreasing odds of r-tPA-treatment in patients with atrial fibrillation. Conclusions— We observed a positive development of r-tPA-treatment frequencies mirroring increasing confidence with intravenous thrombolysis in clinical practice; however, decreasing odds of r-tPA-treatment over time in patients with atrial fibrillation deserve particular attention.