Infectious disease modeling has played a prominent role in recent outbreaks, yet integrating these analyses into public health decision-making has been challenging. We recommend establishing ‘outbreak science’ as an inter-disciplinary field to improve applied epidemic modeling.

Background Contact tracing is one of the key interventions in response to the COVID-19 pandemic but its implementation varies widely across countries. There is little guidance on how to monitor contact tracing performance, and no systematic overview of indicators to assess contact tracing systems or conceptual framework for such indicators exists to date. Methods We conducted a rapid scoping review using a systematic literature search strategy in the peer-reviewed and grey literature as well as open source online documents. We developed a conceptual framework to map indicators by type (input, process, output, outcome, impact) and thematic area (human resources, financial resources, case investigation, contact identification, contact testing, contact follow up, case isolation, contact quarantine, transmission chain interruption, incidence reduction). Results We identified a total of 153 contact tracing indicators from 1,555 peer-reviewed studies, 894 studies from grey literature sources, and 15 sources from internet searches. Two-thirds of indicators were process indicators (102; 67%), while 48 (31%) indicators were output indicators. Only three (2%) indicators were input indicators. Indicators covered seven out of ten conceptualized thematic areas, with more than half being related to either case investigation (37; 24%) or contact identification (44; 29%). There were no indicators for the input area “financial resources”, the outcome area “transmission chain interruption”, and the impact area “incidence reduction”. Conclusions Almost all identified indicators were either process or output indicators focusing on case investigation, contact identification, case isolation or contact quarantine. We identified important gaps in input, outcome and impact indicators, which constrains evidence-based assessment of contact tracing systems. A universally agreed set of indicators is needed to allow for cross-system comparisons and to improve the performance of contact tracing systems.

Militaries around the world play an important but at times poorly defined and underappreciated role in global health security. They are often called upon to support civilian authorities in humanitarian crises and to provide routine healthcare for civilians. Military personnel are a unique population in a health security context, as they are highly mobile and often deploy to austere settings domestically and internationally, which may increase exposure to endemic and emerging infectious diseases. Despite the role of militaries, few studies have systematically evaluated their involvement in global health security activities including the Global Health Security Agenda. We analyzed Joint External Evaluation ( JEE) mission reports (n = 94) and National Action Plan for Health Security plans (n = 12), published as of July 2020, to determine the extent to which military organizations were involved in the evaluation process, military involvement in health security activities were described, and specific recommendations were provided for the country's military. For JEE reports, descriptions of military involvement were highest in 3 of the 4 core areas: Respond (76%), Prevent (39%), and Detect (32%). Similarly, National Action Plan for Health Security plans mentioned military involvement in the same 3 core areas: Respond (58%), Prevent (33%), and Detect (33%). Only 28% of JEE reports provided recommendations for the military in any of the core areas. Our results indicate that military roles and contributions are incorporated into some aspects of country-level health security activities, but that more extensive involvement may be warranted to improve national capabilities to prevent, detect, and respond to infectious disease threats.

The COVID-19 pandemic and earlier health events have demonstrated that when effectively implemented, case investigation and contact tracing (CI/CT) can break chains of transmission by promptly identifying, quarantining, and monitoring the contacts of infected cases, thereby limiting further spread of a disease in a community. Many public health experts agree that implementing CI/CT at the early stages of an outbreak can be an extremely effective approach to controlling an outbreak; as such, health departments must have CI/CT capacities in place prior to the detection of an outbreak to ensure readiness to respond. At the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, and to this day, U.S. state and local public health departments lack comprehensive CI/CT guidelines that clearly define the capabilities, capacities, outcomes, and impacts of CI/CT programs. This research has resulted in the first comprehensive analysis of the goals, capabilities, and capacities of CI/CT programs, as well as a conceptual framework that represents the relationships between these program components and considerations. Our findings highlight the need for further guidance to assist U.S. state and local public health departments in shifting CI/CT program goals as outbreaks evolve. Moreover, training the public health workforce on making decisions around CI/CT program implementation during evolving outbreaks is critical to ensure readiness to respond to a variety of outbreak scenarios.