The classical problem of identifying the optimal risk transfer from one insurance company to multiple reinsurance companies is examined under some quantilebased risk measure criteria. We develop a new methodology via a two-stage optimisation procedure which allows us to not only recover some existing results in the literature, but also makes possible the analysis of high dimensional problems in which the insurance company diversifies its risk with multiple reinsurance counter-parties, where the insurer risk position and the premium charged by the reinsurers are functions of the underlying risk quantile. Closed form solutions are elaborated for some particular settings, although numerical methods for the second part of our procedure represent viable alternatives for the ease of implementing it in more complex scenarios. Furthermore, we discuss some approaches to obtain more robust results.
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AbstractWe develop portfolio optimization problems for a non-life insurance company seeking to find the minimum capital required, which simultaneously satisfies solvency and portfolio performance constraints. Motivated by standard insurance regulations, we consider solvency capital requirements based on three criteria: Ruin Probability, Conditional Value-at-Risk and Expected Policyholder Deficit ratio. We propose a novel semiparametric formulation for each problem and explore the advantages of implementing this methodology over other potential approaches. When liabilities follow a Lognormal distribution, we provide sufficient conditions for convexity for each problem. Using different expected Return on Capital target levels, we construct efficient frontiers when portfolio assets are modelled with a special class of multivariate GARCH models. We found that the correlation between asset returns plays an important role in the behaviour of the optimal capital required and the portfolio structure. The stability and out-of-sample performance of our optimal solutions are empirically tested with respect to both the solvency requirement and portfolio performance, through a double rolling window estimation exercise.
In this paper we propose semiclosed‐form solutions, subject to an inversion of the Fourier transform, for the price of VIX options and target volatility options under affine GARCH models based on Gaussian and Inverse Gaussian distributions. We illustrate the advantage of the proposed analytic expressions by comparing them with those obtained from benchmark Monte–Carlo simulations. The empirical performance of the two affine GARCH models is tested using different calibration exercises based on historical returns and market quotes on VIX and SPX options.
Under discrete-time GARCH models markets are incomplete so there is more than one price kernel for valuing contingent claims. This motivates the quest for selecting an appropriate price kernel. Different methods have been proposed for the choice of a price kernel. Some of them can be justified by economic equilibrium arguments. This paper studies risk-neutral dynamics of various classes of Generalized Hyperbolic GARCH models arising from different price kernels. We discuss the properties of these dynamics and show that for some special cases, some pricing kernels considered here lead to similar risk neutral GARCH dynamics. Real data examples for pricing European options on the S&P 500 index emphasize the importance of the choice of a price kernel.
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