Introduction: Pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) has a high burden of morbimortality in children. Use of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) is an effective preventive measure. After PCV 7-valent (PCV7) withdrawal, PCV 10-valent (PCV10) and PCV 13-valent (PCV13) are the alternatives in Peru. This study aimed to evaluate cost effectiveness of these vaccines in preventing PP in Peruvian children <5 yearsold. Methodology: A cost-effectiveness analysis was developed in three phases: a systematic evidence search for calculating effectiveness; a cost analysis for vaccine strategies and outcome management; and an economic model based on decision tree analysis, including deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis using acceptability curves, tornado diagram, and Monte Carlo simulation. A hypothetic 100 vaccinated children/vaccine cohort was built. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Results: The isolation probability for all serotypes in each vaccine was estimated: 38% for PCV7, 41% PCV10, and 17% PCV13. Avoided hospitalization was found to be the best effectiveness model measure. Estimated costs for PCV7, PCV10, and PCV13 cohorts were USD13,761, 11,895, and 12,499, respectively. Costs per avoided hospitalization were USD718 for PCV7, USD333 for PCV10, andUSD 162 for PCV13. At ICER, PCV7 was dominated by the other PCVs. Eliminating PCV7, PCV13 was more cost effective than PCV10 (confirmed in sensitivity analysis). Conclusions: PCV10 and PCV13 are more cost effective than PCV7 in prevention of pneumonia in children <5 years-old in Peru. PCV13 prevents more hospitalizations and is more cost-effective than PCV10. These results should be considered when making decisions about the Peruvian National Inmunizations Schedule.
Objetivos. Estimar el costo-utilidad de la vacuna contra el Virus de Papiloma Humano (VPH) en las mujeres peruanas luego de la aplicación de la vacuna cuando tenían 10 años de edad. Materiales y métodos. Se realizó un análisis de costo-utilidad empleando el modelo oculto de Markov en una cohorte hipotética de mujeres peruanas, basado en la información de parámetros epidemiológicos, costos asociados al Cáncer de cuello uterino (CCU) y la eficacia y los costos de la vacunación contra el VPH. Los costos de la vacunación se estimaron desde la perspectiva del Ministerio de Salud de Perú y se compararon con los años de vida ajustados por calidad (AVAC) utilizando una tasa de descuento del 5 %. Resultados. El costo anual de la vacunación fue de USD 16 861 490, para el tamizaje con Papanicolau fue de USD 3 060 793 y los costos asociados al CCU fueron de USD 15 580 000. La razón de costo-utilidad incremental (RCUI) fue de 6775 USD/AVAC. Conclusiones. La vacunación contra el VPH puede resultar costo-útil comparada con el no vacunar.
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