Injection‐induced seismicity is thought to be due primarily to increase in fluid pore pressure, which reduces the shear strength of a nearby fault. We address the modeling and prediction of the hydromechanical response due to fluid injection, mainly as wastewater disposal. We consider the full poroelastic effects, including the changes in porosity and permeability of the medium due to changes in local volumetric strains. Our results consider effects of the fault architecture (low‐permeability fault core and anisotropic high‐permeability damage zones) on the pressure diffusion and the fault poroelastic response. We show that the high‐permeable damage zone, the poroelastic response, and the permeability evolution can accelerate the pore pressure diffusion process during and after wastewater injection. By studying a geologically based model of the Guy‐Greenbrier fault and of the earthquake sequence induced along it in Arkansas, United States, from October 2010 to July 2011, we show that the existence of highly permeable damage zones facilitates the pressure diffusion and results in a sharp increase in pore pressure at levels much deeper than the injection wells, while the anisotropic permeability in the damage zone can act as a barrier to cross‐fault fluid flow. Furthermore, by computing the change ΔCFS of Coulomb failure stress, our simulations show that ΔCFS increases starting from the top of the Guy‐Greenbrier fault and then propagates toward greater depth and toward the southwest direction, which is consistent with the seismicity migration.
Antarctic mass balance and contribution to sea level rise are dominated by the flow of ice through narrow conduits called ice streams. These regions of relatively fast flow drain over 90% of the ice sheet and generate significant amounts of frictional heat at the ice stream margins where there is a transition to slow flow in the ridge. This heat can generate temperate ice and a sharp transition in flow speed between the stream and the ridge. Within zones of temperate ice, meltwater is produced and drains to the bed. Here we model the downstream development of a temperate zone along an ice stream shear margin and the flow of meltwater through temperate ice into a subglacial hydrologic system. The hydrology sets the basal effective pressure, defined as the difference between ice overburden and water pressure. Using the southern shear margin of Bindschadler Ice Stream as a case study, our model results indicate an abrupt transition from a distributed to channelized hydrologic system within a few ice thicknesses of the point where the temperate zone initiates. This transition leads to a strengthening of the till due to reduced pore pressure because the water pressure in the channel is lower than in the distributed system, a potential mechanism by which hydrology can prevent lateral migration of shear margins.
Microcracks in fault damage zones can heal under thermally controlled processes. If a flow communication exists between a fluid source and the fault damage zone, warm fluids can migrate into it, change its thermal conditions, and assist healing. The crack life span depends on the local temperature and is, thus, modified by the infiltration of warm fluids. The features of the initial fault architecture govern how the fluids will propagate within the fault damage zones. This affects the rate of healing and the rate of permeability reduction. The region infiltrated by fluids will then show a significant decrease in its permeability, as seen in many field examples like the Alpine Fault. Conventionally, the damage zones immediately near the fault core have a high permeability that decays as we go further away. However, the region adjacent to the fault core, in the Alpine Fault, New Zealand, has the lowest permeability in the current interseismic period. As shown by our simulations, this can be due to healing and sealing, favored by the localized high geothermal gradients (confirmed by the drilling data) and the upward fluid migration through the fault relay structure, which accelerated mass diffusion and minerals precipitation.
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