Uncertainties in the timing of a seasonal ice cover in the Arctic Ocean depend on model physics and parameterizations, natural variability at decadal timescales and uncertainties in climate scenarios and forcings. We use the Gridded Monthly Sea-Ice Extent and Concentration, 1850 Onward product to assess the simulated decadal variability from the Community Earth System Model – Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) in the Pacific, Eurasian and Atlantic sector of the Arctic where a longer observational record exists. Results show that sea-ice decadal (8-16 years) variability in CESM-LE is in agreement with the observational record in the Pacific sector of the Arctic, underestimated in the Eurasian sector of the Arctic, specifically in the East-Siberian Sea, and slightly overestimated in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic, specifically in the Greenland Sea. Results also show an increase in variability at decadal timescales in the Eurasian and Pacific sectors during the transition to a seasonally ice-free Arctic, in agreement with the observational record although this increase is delayed by 10-20 years. If the current sea-ice retreat in the Arctic continues to be Pacific-centric, results from the CESM-LE suggest that uncertainty in the timing of an ice-free Arctic associated with natural variability is realistic, but that a seasonal ice cover may occur earlier than projected.

Abstract. Since 2003, the state-of-the-art Canadian Coast Guard Ship (CCGS) research icebreaker Amundsen furrows the Canadian Arctic waters to support novel research endeavors and collect oceanographic data. This paper presents the data acquisition, the processing methods and an overview of the data collected during the 2021 expedition as the ship traveled over 30 000 km during 122 days across the Canadian Arctic Ocean, collecting sea surface, atmospheric and seabed underway measurements. A total of 266 casts of a conductivity, temperature and depth profiler mounted on a rosette (CTD-Rosette) were also conducted to monitor the main physical, chemical and biological parameters of the water column. More specifically, the data here presented were collected with the CTD-Rosette across historical sampling transects in Davis Strait, the NorthWater Polynya (NOW), and Cape Bathurst. A 182 km dedicated survey of Moving Vessel Profiler (MVP), equipped with CTD, transmissometer, dissolved oxygen, fluorescence, sound velocity sensors, was conducted across Hudson Strait. We also present an overview of the data collected by the underway systems (seabed, thermosalinograph and atmospheric). Such data are essential in understanding the impacts of climate warming on the unique environments of the Canadian Arctic Ocean. Amundsen Science supports and promotes easy access and sharing of such valuable data to the scientific community.

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