Background The available evidence on whether neuraminidase inhibitors reduce mortality in patients with influenza is inconclusive and focuses solely on influenza A/H1N1pdm09. We assessed whether early oseltamivir treatment (≤48 hours from symptom onset) decreases mortality compared to late treatment in a large cohort of critically ill patients with influenza of all types. Methods The study included all adults with laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalized in intensive care units (ICUs) in Greece over 8 seasons (2010–2011 to 2017–2018) and treated with oseltamivir. The association of early oseltamivir with mortality was assessed with log-binomial models and a competing risks analysis estimating cause-specific and subdistribution hazards for death and discharge. Effect estimates were stratified by influenza type and adjusted for multiple covariates. Results A total of 1330 patients were studied, of whom 622 (46.8%) died in the ICU. Among patients with influenza A/H3N2, early treatment was associated with significantly lower mortality (relative risk, 0.69 [95% credible interval {CrI}, .49–.94]; subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.58 [95% CrI, .37–.88]). This effect was purely due to an increased cause-specific hazard for discharge, whereas the cause-specific hazard for death was not increased. Among survivors, the median length of ICU stay was shorter with early treatment by 1.8 days (95% CrI, .5–3.5 days). No effect on mortality was observed for A/H1N1 and influenza B patients. Conclusions Severely ill patients with suspected influenza should be promptly treated with oseltamivir, particularly when A/H3N2 is circulating. The efficacy of oseltamivir should not be assumed to be equal against all types of influenza.
Background The emergence in China in late 2019 and subsequent progression of a pandemic of a respiratory disease named coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was highly facilitated by international travel. We present 5 cases of probable in-flight transmission in Greece. Methods We studied international passengers arriving to or departing from Greece from February 26 through March 9, 2020. Contact tracing extended up to 4 days before the onset of symptoms and focused on close contacts. Close contacts were defined as persons sitting within a distance of <2 m for >15 min, including passengers seated two seats around the index case and all crew members and persons who had close contact with the index case. Results We investigated 18 international flights with 2224 passengers and 110 crew members. Main countries of departure included Northern Italy, Israel and the United Kingdom. In accordance with the national surveillance investigation, in these flights there were 21 index cases and 891 contact traced cases. Six index cases were symptomatic during the flight. Of the 891 contact traced cases, 4 passengers and 1 crew member developed laboratory-confirmed infection (3 with COVID-19 and 2 with asymptomatic infection); they travelled on the same flight with two COVID-19 cases. Conclusions Air travel has played a central role in the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there are scarce data about in-flight transmission. Our extensive investigation showed five cases of probable in-flight transmission. Efforts should be placed in order to ensure the prompt implementation of appropriate infection control measures on board.
This report describes a cluster of SARS-CoV-2 infections in pilgrims returning from Israel to Greece. Out of 53 pilgrims, 48 (90.5%) were tested positive for SARS-CoV-2; of them, 41 (85.4%) developed symptoms consistent with COVID-19, and 7 (14.6%) remained asymptomatic. These cases suggest a high risk of COVID-19 infection for pilgrims traveling during the pandemic. Although at that time the prevalence of the disease was low in the origin and destination countries, crowded exposure to other pilgrims from many other countries led to this cluster. Increasing awareness about the risks in pilgrims is important and particularly for elderly pilgrims and those with underlying conditions.
The 2014-2015 influenza season was marked by circulation of antigenically drifted A/H3N2 strains, raising the possibility of low seasonal influenza Vaccine Effectiveness (VE). We assessed VE against hospitalization with laboratory-confirmed influenza for the 2014-2015 season, using routine surveillance data. Non-sentinel swab samples from Greek hospital inpatients were tested for influenza by RT-PCR in three laboratories, covering the entire country. We estimated VE using a test-negative design. Out of 883 patients with known vaccination status, 161 (18.2%) were vaccinated, and 392/883 patients (44.4%) tested positive for influenza, of whom 162 (41.3%) had type B and 151 (38.5%) had A/H3N2. Adjusted VE was 31.6% (95%CI: 2.9-51.8%) against any influenza, 46.8%, 95%CI: 12.5-67.6%) against type B and -1.9%, 95%CI: -69.5 to 38.7%) against A/H3N2. VE against non-ICU hospitalization appeared to be higher, but the difference did not reach statistical significance. Circulating A/H3N2 viruses showed substantial antigenic drift, while about half of the type B strains were similar to the vaccine strain. Despite the antigenic drift of the A/H3N2 strains, the vaccine still offered substantial protection against hospitalization with laboratory-confirmed influenza, mostly due to a surge in type B influenza late in the season. Vaccine coverage was low, even among groups targeted for vaccination, and considerable effort should be made to improve it. J. Med. Virol. 88:1896-1904, 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Objectives: Excess population mortality during winter is most often associated with influenza A(H3N2), though susceptibility differs by age. We examined differences between influenza types/subtypes in their association with severe laboratory-confirmed cases, overall and by age group, to determine which type is the most virulent. Methods: We used nine seasons of comprehensive nationwide surveillance data from Greece (2010 e2011 to 2018e2019) to examine the association, separately for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B, between the number of laboratory-confirmed severe cases (intensive care hospitalizations or deaths) per type/subtype and the overall type-specific circulation during the season (expressed as a cumulative incidence proxy). Quasi-Poisson models with identity link were used, and multiple imputation to handle missing influenza A subtype. Results: For the same level of viral circulation and across all ages, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was associated with twice as many intensive care hospitalizations as A(H3N2) (rate ratio (RR) 1.89, 95% CI 1.38 e2.74) and three times more than influenza B (RR 3.27, 95%CI 2.54e4.20). Similar associations were observed for laboratory-confirmed deaths. A(H1N1)pdm09 affected adults over 40 years at similar rates, whereas A(H3N2) affected elderly people at a much higher rate than younger persons (65 vs. 40 e64 years, RR for intensive care 5.42, 95% CI 3.45e8.65, and RR for death 6.19, 95%CI 4.05e9.38). Within the 40e64 years age group, A(H1N1)pdm09 was associated with an approximately five times higher rate of severe disease than both A(H3N2) and B. Discussion: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 is associated with many more severe laboratory-confirmed cases, likely due to a more typical clinical presentation and younger patient age, leading to more testing. A(H3N2) affects older people more, with cases less often recognized and confirmed.
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