The growth of an urban area will result in the conversion of agricultural land to non-agricultural land. In some cases, agricultural land that has the most opportunity to experience conversion is rice fields. The purpose of this study is to provide an overview of the condition of the rice fields related to the carrying capacity and its suitability to the urban spatial layout of Pangkajene. The method used in this research is a quantitative descriptive analysis of spatial data and secondary data. The area of rice fields in the urban area of Pangkajene in a vulnerable time of 7 years decreased by 149 ha. The results of the calculation of the carrying capacity of rice fields in the Pangkajene urban area in 2020 amounted to 0.27 which is included in class III or low criteria. While the optimal population is 11,102 people. The total of 15.23 ha of land was not suitable for the agricultural planning zone in regional spatial planning. There are still people who build buildings in the agricultural area of 2.99 ha or 0.71%. The open land also exists in the area designated for agricultural activities covering an area of 6.91 ha or 1.63%. The residents also expand their yards in an area devoted to agricultural activities by 5.33 ha or 1.26%.Keywords: Rice Fields, Carrying Capacity, Spatial Planning, Geographic information system

Sub-DAS Bila diindikasikan akan mengalami konversi lahan hutan menjadi ladang berpindah seiring perkembangan kebutuhan lahan saat ini. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk melihat pola perubahan penggunaan lahan dari tahun 2006 sampai dengan 2016 serta prediksinya tahun 2036 melalui penerapan model CA-Markov yang terdapat pada perangkat lunak Idrisi. Pola perubahan penggunaan lahan tahun 1996-2016 di sub-DAS Bila menunjukkan penurunan luasan signifikan pada penggunaan lahan hutan lahan kering primer sebesar 10,94% dan semak belukar sebesar 24,12%. Sementara luasan pertanian lahan kering campur semak meningkat signifikan sebesar 24,33% dan hutan lahan kering sekunder sebesar 10,64%. Begitu pula hasil simulasi prediksi penggunaan lahan tahun 2036, hutan lahan kering primer diprediksi berkurang seluas 10,2%, semak belukar diprediksi berkurang 7,15%, sedangkan hutan lahan kering sekunder diprediksi bertambah 8,63%, permukiman diprediksi bertambah 4,62%, pertanian lahan kering campur semak diprediksi bertambah 5,64%. Penerapan model CA-Markov untuk memprediksi penggunaan lahan menunjukan nilai  Kstandard 0,9 dinyatakan bahwa pemodelan diterima secara ilmiah.