The widespread perception of an increase in the severity of extreme rainstorms has not found yet clear confirmation in the scientific literature, often showing vastly different results. Especially for short‐duration extremes, spatial heterogeneities can affect the outcomes of large‐scale trend analyses, providing misleading results dependent on the adopted spatial domain. Based on the availability of a renewed and comprehensive database, the present work assesses the presence of regional trends in the magnitude and frequency of annual rainfall maxima for subdaily durations in Italy. Versions of the Mann‐Kendall test and a record‐breaking analysis, which considers the spatial correlation, have been adopted for the scope. Significant trends do not appear at the whole‐country scale, but distinct patterns of change emerge in smaller domains having homogeneous geographical characteristics. Results of the study underline the importance of a multiscale approach to regional trend analysis and the need of more advanced explanations of localized trends.
The tropical rainfall measuring mission (TRMM) has revolutionized the measurement of precipitation worldwide. However, TRMM significantly underestimates rainfall in deep convection systems, being therefore of little help for the analysis of extreme precipitation depths. This work evaluates the ability of both TRMM and the recently launched global precipitation measurement (GPM) mission to help in the identification of the timing of severe rainfall events. We compare the date of occurrence of the most severe daily rainfall recorded each year by a global rain gauge network with the ones estimated by TRMM. The match rate between the two is found to approach 50%, indicating significant consistency between the two data sources. This figure rises to 60% for GPM, indicating the potential for this new mission to improve the accuracy associated with TRMM. Further efforts are needed in improving the GPM conversion algorithms in order to reduce the bias affecting the estimation of intense depths. The results however show that the timing estimated from GPM can provide a solid basis for an extensive characterization of the spatio-temporal distribution of extreme rainfall in poorly gauged regions of the world.
Abstract. Satellite-based Earth observations (EO) are an accurate and
reliable data source for atmospheric and environmental science. Their
increasing spatial and temporal resolutions, as well as the seamless
availability over ungauged regions, make them appealing for hydrological
modeling. This work shows recent advances in the use of high-resolution
satellite-based EO data in hydrological modeling. In a set of six
experiments, the distributed hydrological model Continuum is set up for the
Po River basin (Italy) and forced, in turn, by satellite precipitation and
evaporation, while satellite-derived soil moisture (SM) and snow depths are
ingested into the model structure through a data-assimilation scheme.
Further, satellite-based estimates of precipitation, evaporation, and river
discharge are used for hydrological model calibration, and results are
compared with those based on ground observations. Despite the high density
of conventional ground measurements and the strong human influence in the
focus region, all satellite products show strong potential for operational
hydrological applications, with skillful estimates of river discharge
throughout the model domain. Satellite-based evaporation and snow depths
marginally improve (by 2 % and 4 %) the mean Kling–Gupta efficiency
(KGE) at 27 river gauges, compared to a baseline simulation
(KGEmean= 0.51) forced by high-quality conventional data. Precipitation
has the largest impact on the model output, though the satellite data on
average shows poorer skills compared to conventional data. Interestingly, a
model calibration heavily relying on satellite data, as opposed to
conventional data, provides a skillful reconstruction of river discharges,
paving the way to fully satellite-driven hydrological applications.
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