We study the Heston-Cox-Ingersoll-Ross++ stochastic-local volatility model in the context of foreign exchange markets and propose a Monte Carlo simulation scheme which combines the full truncation Euler scheme for the stochastic volatility component and the stochastic domestic and foreign short interest rates with the log-Euler scheme for the exchange rate. We establish the exponential integrability of full truncation Euler approximations for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and find a lower bound on the explosion time of these exponential moments. Under a full correlation structure and a realistic set of assumptions on the so-called leverage function, we prove the strong convergence of the exchange rate approximations and deduce the convergence of Monte Carlo estimators for a number of vanilla and path-dependent options. Then, we perform a series of numerical experiments for an autocallable barrier dual currency note.
We propose a novel and generic calibration technique for four-factor foreign-exchange hybrid local-stochastic volatility models (LSV) with stochastic short rates. We build upon the particle method introduced by Guyon and Henry-Labordère [Nonlinear Option Pricing, Chapter 11, Chapman and Hall, 2013] and combine it with new variance reduction techniques in order to accelerate convergence. We use control variates derived from: a calibrated pure local volatility model; a two-factor Heston-type LSV model (both with deterministic rates); the stochastic (CIR) short rates. The method can be applied to a large class of hybrid LSV models and is not restricted to our particular choice of the diffusion. However, we address in the paper some specific difficulties arising from the Heston model, notably by a new PDE formulation and finite element solution to bypass the singularities of the density when zero is attainable by the variance. The calibration procedure is performed on market data for the EUR-USD currency pair and has a comparable run-time to the PDE calibration of a two-factor LSV model alone.
We study convergence properties of the full truncation Euler scheme for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process in the regime where the boundary point zero is inaccessible. Under some conditions on the model parameters (precisely, when the Feller ratio is greater than three), we establish the strong order 1/2 convergence in L p of the scheme to the exact solution. This is consistent with the optimal rate of strong convergence for approximations to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process based on sequential evaluations of the driving Brownian motion.
In this paper, the valuation of European and path-dependent options in foreign exchange (FX) markets is considered when the currency exchange rate evolves according to the Heston model combined with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics for the stochastic domestic and foreign short interest rates. The mixed Monte Carlo/PDE method requires that we simulate only the paths of the squared volatility and the two interest rates, while an "inner" Black-Scholes-type expectation is evaluated by means of a PDE. This can lead to a substantial variance reduction and complexity improvements under certain circumstances depending on the contract and the model parameters. In this work, we establish the uniform boundedness of moments of the exchange rate process and its approximation, and prove strong convergence in L p (p ≥ 1) of the latter. Then, we carry out a variance reduction analysis and obtain accurate approximations for quantities of interest. All theoretical contributions can be extended to multi-factor short rates in a straightforward manner. Finally, we illustrate the efficiency of the method for the four-factor Heston-CIR model through a detailed quantitative assessment.
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