Natural gas hydrates are enormous energy resources occurring in the permafrost and under deep ocean sediments. However, the commercial or sustained production of this resource with currently available technology remains a technical, environmental, and economic challenge, albeit a few production tests have been conducted to date. One of the major challenges has been sand production due to the unconsolidated nature of hydrate bearing formations. This review presents progress in methane gas production from natural gas hydrate deposits, specifically addressing the technology, field production and simulation tests, challenges, and the market outlook. Amongst the production techniques, the depressurization method of dissociating natural gas hydrates is widely accepted as the most feasible option and it has been used the most in field test trials and simulation studies. The market for natural gas hydrates looks promising considering the increasing demand for energy globally, limited availability of conventional fossil fuels, and the low carbon footprint when using natural gas compared to liquid and solid fossil fuels. The major market setback currently is cheap gas from shale and conventional oil and gas reservoirs.
Subsurface uncertainties in reservoir characterization remains a challenge in decision making in the development phase of hydrocarbon maturation process due to geological complexity and limitations in reservoir data to provide sufficient understanding of the subsurface. This study focuses on identifying, managing, narrowing these uncertainties and generating reservoir realizations and optimum development concept consistent with available data. Hence, the objective of this study is to generate a technically feasible & economically viable development plan for X1, X2W and X2E reservoirs in KOCA field. The methodology deployed on this study is a multi-disciplinary integrated approach in a parallel setting with early focus on uncertainty identification, quantification, management and iterations amongst the team. Sensitivity analysis was used to evaluate the respective impact of the identified uncertainties on in-place and recoverable volumes and realizations were constrained by the most impacting uncertain parameters to generate a low case, base case and high case valid realizations of the subsurface. Development concepts were selected to optimize recovery using the base case realization with preliminary economic evaluations used to determine concepts economic viability. The result of this study identifies Structure, Net-to-Gross, and Permeability as the top three uncertainties with most impact on volumes. Deterministic low, base and high case GIIP volumes computed are 354Bscf, 681Bscf and 1.1Tscf, while recoveries were 261Bscf, 546Bscf and 913Bscf respectively. Deterministic low, base and high case STOIIP volumes computed are 0.4MMSTB, 1.5MMSTB and 3.4MMSTB, while recoveries were 0.1MMSTB, 0.2MMSTB, and 0.02MMSTB respectively. Optimum subsurface development concept is two vertical gas well, no horizontal well is needed to develop the thin (12ft) oil rim and finally quick look project economics revealed that the project would be economically viable even for the Low-Case outcome: NPV (10%) is $150M and VIR (10%) is 3.92.
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