Poor connection between data on emerging issues and credible policy decisions continues to challenge governments, and is only likely to grow as demands on time and resources increase. Here we summarise recent efforts to integrate horizon scanning and risk prioritisation approaches to better connect emerging issues to the political discourse on environmental and food-related issues. Our categorisation of insights including potential future risks and opportunities to inform policy discussions has emerged from a structured three-year programme of horizon scanning for a UK pan-governmental futures partnership led by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra). Our efforts to integrate horizon scanning and risk prioritisation, utilising a qualitative weight of evidence framework, has created a systematic process for identifying all signals of potential future change with significant impact for the strategic mission and underlying values of policy actors. Our approach encourages an exploration of factors out of the control of organisations, recognising that resilience depends on the flexibility of management strategies and the preparedness to deal with a variety of unexpected outcomes. We discuss how this approach addresses key cultural and evaluative challenges that policy actors have had in embedding horizon scanning in evidence-based policy processes, and suggest further developments to build confidence in the use of horizon scanning for strategic planning.

The glassy-winged sharpshooter, Homalodisca vitripennis (Germar) (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae), is an important insect vector of the xylem-limited plant pathogen Xylella fastidiosa Wells et al. that causes diseases in numerous plant species including food and feedstock crops, ornamentals and weeds. Both the pathogen and the vector are native to the Americas, and H. vitripennis has demonstrated high invasive ability but to date neither has been detected in Australia. The Australian wine grape, table grape, peach, plum, nectarine and citrus industries are particularly concerned about the arrival of X. fastidiosa and H. vitripennis because of the potential economic impact on these important commodities. Other commodity producers in Australia should also be concerned about this vector-pathogen, in particular the ornamental plant, avocado and olive industries. Past interceptions of H. vitripennis and the potential for X. fastidiosa to be moved in live plant material or within live vectors indicate the need for rapid detection of an incursion in areas considered at high risk. This requires identification of regions that have climatic and environmental conditions conducive to X. fastidiosa and H. vitripennis establishment as well as a detailed knowledge of their respective potential host plant ranges in new areas. These climatic regions and host plant species can then be targeted for monitoring in order to detect an incursion at an early stage. CLIMEX modelling has shown that much of coastal Australia has temperatures suitable for survival of both the vector and pathogen. A range of other requirements in addition to suitable climate must, however, be satisfied for an incursion to lead to establishment, proliferation and spread. This review article provides information that shows that the Australian environment is suitable for the establishment of H. vitripennis and that Australian native plant species are likely to serve as X. fastidiosa hosts and subsequent pathogen sources, and highlights future research directions.Key words alternative host, biosecurity, insect pest, pathogen transmission, Pierce's disease. Peroni et al. 2008) that causes disease in a wide range of economically significant agricultural plants. There are three key genotypes of the bacterium, each with a different host range, virulence and transmissibility (Schaad et al. 2004;Almeida et al. 2008;Nunney et al. 2010). The three genotypes that have been identified are X. fastidiosa subsp piercei, subsp. *anna.rathe@industry.nsw.gov.au bs_bs_banner Australian Journal of Entomology (2012) 51, 209-220

In any insect invasion the presence or absence of suitable food and oviposition hosts in the invaded range is a key factor determining establishment success. The glassy-winged sharpshooter, Homalodisca vitripennis, is an important insect vector of the xylem-limited bacterial plant pathogen, Xylella fastidiosa, which causes disease in numerous host plants including food and feedstock crops, ornamentals and weeds. Both the pathogen and the vector are native to the Americas and are considered to be highly invasive. Neither has been detected in Australia. Twelve Australian native plant species present in the USA were observed over two years for suitability as H. vitripennis feeding, oviposition and nymph development hosts. Hosts providing evidence of adult or nymph presence were Leptospermum laevigatum, Acacia cowleana, Eremophila divaricata, Eucalyptus wandoo, Hakea laurina, Melaleuca laterita and Swainsona galegifolia. An oviposition-suitability field study was conducted with citrus, a favoured oviposition host, as a positive control. Citrus and L. laevigatum, A. cowleana, B. ericifolia×B. spinulosa, C. pulchella, E. divaricata, E. wandoo, H. laurina, and S. galegifolia were found to be oviposition hosts. Egg parasitism by the mymarid parasitoid Gonatocerus ashmeadi was observed on all Australian plants. A number of Australian plants that may facilitate H. vitripennis invasion have been identified and categorised as ‘high risk’ due to their ability to support all three life stages (egg, nymph and adult) of the insect in the field (L. laevigatum, A. cowleana, E. divaricata, H. laurina, and S. galegifolia). The implications of these host status and natural enemy research findings are discussed and placed in an Australian invasion context.