Abstract. High soil erosion and excessive sediment load are serious problems in several
Himalayan river basins. To apply mitigation procedures, precise estimation of
soil erosion and sediment yield with associated uncertainties are needed.
Here, the revised universal soil loss equation (RUSLE) and the sediment delivery
ratio (SDR) equations are used to estimate the spatial pattern of soil
erosion (SE) and sediment yield (SY) in the Garra River basin, a small
Himalayan tributary of the River Ganga. A methodology is proposed for quantifying
and propagating uncertainties in SE, SDR and SY estimates. Expressions for
uncertainty propagation are derived by first-order uncertainty analysis,
making the method viable even for large river basins. The methodology is
applied to investigate the relative importance of different RUSLE factors in
estimating the magnitude and uncertainties in SE over two distinct
morphoclimatic regimes of the Garra River basin, namely the upper mountainous
region and the lower alluvial plains. Our results suggest that average SE in the
basin is very high (23 ± 4.7 t ha−1 yr−1) with higher
values in the upper mountainous region
(92 ± 15.2 t ha−1 yr−1) compared to the lower alluvial
plains (19.3 ± 4 t ha−1 yr−1). Furthermore, the
topographic steepness (LS) and crop practice (CP) factors exhibit higher
uncertainties than other RUSLE factors. The annual average SY is estimated at
two locations in the basin – Nanak Sagar Dam (NSD) for the period 1962–2008
and Husepur gauging station (HGS) for 1987–2002. The SY at NSD and HGS are
estimated to be 6.9 ± 1.2 × 105 t yr−1 and
6.7 ± 1.4 × 106 t yr−1, respectively, and the
estimated 90 % interval contains the observed values of
6.4 × 105 t yr−1 and
7.2 × 106 t yr−1, respectively. The study demonstrated
the usefulness of the proposed methodology for quantifying uncertainty in SE
and SY estimates at ungauged basins.
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