ObjectiveSince the 1980s, dengue incidence has increased 30‐fold. However, in 2017, there was a noticeable reduction in reported dengue incidence cases within the Americas, including severe and fatal cases. Understanding the mechanism underlying dengue's incidence and decline in the Americas is vital for public health planning. We aimed to provide plausible explanations for the decline in 2017.MethodsAn expert panel of representatives from scientific and academic institutions, Ministry of Health officials from Latin America and PAHO/WHO staff met in October 2017 to propose hypotheses. The meeting employed six moderated plenary discussions in which participants reviewed epidemiological evidence, suggested explanatory hypotheses, offered their expert opinions on each and developed a consensus.ResultsThe expert group established that in 2017, there was a generalised decreased incidence, severity and number of deaths due to dengue in the Americas, accompanied by a reduction in reported cases of both Zika and chikungunya virus infections, with no change in distribution among age groups affected. This decline was determined to be unlikely due to changes in epidemiological surveillance systems, as similar designs of surveillance systems exist across the region. Although sudden surveillance disruption is possible at a country or regional level, it is unlikely to occur in all countries simultaneously. Retrospective modelling with epidemiological, immunological and entomological information is needed. Host or immunological factors may have influenced the decline in dengue cases at the population level through immunity; however, herd protection requires additional evidence. Uncertainty remains regarding the effect on the outcome of sequential infections of different dengue virus (DENV) types and Zika virus (ZIKV), and vice versa. Future studies were recommended that examine the epidemiological effect of prior DENV infection on Zika incidence and severity, the epidemiological effect of prior Zika virus infection on dengue incidence and severity, immune correlates based on new‐generation ELISA assays, and impact of prior DENV/other arbovirus infection on ZIKV immune response in relation to number of infections and the duration of antibodies in relation to interval of protection. Follow‐up studies should also investigate whether increased vector control intensification activities contributed to the decline in transmission of one or more of these arboviruses. Additionally, proposed studies should focus on the potential role of vector competence when simultaneously exposed to various arboviruses, and on entomological surveillance and its impact on circulating vector species, with a goal of applying specific measures that mitigate seasonal occurrence or outbreaks.ConclusionsMultifactorial events may have accounted for the decline in dengue seen in 2017. Differing elements might explain the reduction in dengue including elements of immunity, increased vector control, and even vector and\or viruses changes or adaptations. Mo...
To evaluate the usefulness of school absentee data in identifying outbreaks as part of syndromic surveillance, we examined data collected from public schools in Miami-Dade County, Florida, USA. An innovative automated alert system captured information about school-specific absenteeism to detect and provide real-time notification of possible outbreaks of influenza-like illness.
To determine if expanded queries can be used to identify specific reportable diseases/conditions not detected by using automated syndrome categories, we developed new categories to use with the Electronic Surveillance System for the Early Notification of Community Based Epidemics. Results suggest innovative queries can enhance clinicians’ compliance with reportable disease requirements.
Background On 29 April 2015, the Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County (DOH Miami-Dade) was notified by a local dermatologist of 3 patients with suspected nontuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) infection after receiving tattoos at a local tattoo studio. Methods DOH Miami-Dade conducted interviews and offered testing, described below, to tattoo studio clients reporting rashes. Culture of clinical isolates and identification were performed at the Florida Bureau of Public Health Laboratories. Characterization of NTM was performed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), respectively. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) and single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) analyses were used to construct a phylogeny among 21 Mycobacterium isolates at the FDA. Results Thirty-eight of 226 interviewed clients were identified as outbreak-associated cases. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that individuals who reported gray tattoo ink in their tattoos were 8.2 times as likely to report a rash (95% confidence interval, 3.1–22.1). Multiple NTM species were identified in clinical and environmental specimens. Phylogenetic results from environmental samples and skin biopsies indicated that 2 Mycobacterium fortuitum isolates (graywash ink and a skin biopsy) and 11 Mycobacterium abscessus isolates (5 from the implicated bottle of graywash tattoo ink, 2 from tap water, and 4 from skin biopsies) were indistinguishable. In addition, Mycobacterium chelonae was isolated from 5 unopened bottles of graywash ink provided by 2 other tattoo studios in Miami-Dade County. Conclusions WGS and SNP analyses identified the tap water and the bottle of graywash tattoo ink as the sources of the NTM infections.
RLCs showed a benefit in reducing RLR-related injury collisions at camera sites after enforcement commenced, yet its tradeoff was a large increase in rear-end collisions. There was inconclusive evidence whether RLCs affected right angle/turning and all injury collisions. Statutory changes in crash reporting during the second year of camera enforcement affected the incidence of right angle and rear-end collisions; nevertheless, a "novelty effect" could not be ruled out. Future research should consider events such as low frequencies of severe injury/fatal collisions and changes in crash reporting requirements when conducting RLC analyses.
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