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In the present paper, effective factors in the imbalance between labor markets and educational services in the construction industry were identified on the basis of expert assessments. A model was developed as a system of equations that made it possible to determine the direction of influence of selected factors with subsequent graphic interpretation. Graphical visualization of models was also presented in the form of graphs. On this basis, scenarios of socio-economic development of region were defined in this area (optimistic, realistic and pessimistic scenarios).