comprehensive understanding of correlations and interlinkages, as well as an understanding of macroeconomic feedback mechanisms.
6.Information availability: regulatory information should allow for prompt identification of contagion channels and pockets of vulnerability. Timely information enables policies to be implemented that react effectively to new developments, either by recalibrating or activating existing regulatory tools or by activating crisis management tools.
7.Non-regulatory discipline: the presence of regulatory discipline should not entail the removal of non-regulatory discipline. On the contrary, the discipline that derives from market players, effective governance structures and the prevalence of high ethical and personal responsibility standards in the management of financial institutions is complementary to financial regulation and may reduce its need to rely on complex rules.Reports of the Advisory Scientific Committee No 8 / June 2019 Introduction 5Arguably, these institutions contribute to harmonising regulatory and supervisory policies and practices in the EU, thus reducing the complexity associated with the heterogeneity in country legislations and practices. In practice, however, some of the new institutions have not wholly replaced the old ones, creating a more complex institutional landscape.
The build-up of risks in advanced economies has seen a lot of research efforts in the recent years, while similar research efforts on emerging economies have not been so strong and, when undertaken, have focused mostly on its international dimension. Simultaneously, the financial system of the emerging economies has substantially developed and deepened. In our paper, we construct an index of vulnerabilities in emerging countries, relying solely on data available at international organisations. We group indicators around four poles: valuation and risk appetite, imbalances in the non-financial sector, financial sector vulnerabilities, and global vulnerabilities. On purpose, we depart from early warning models or any other kind of complex econometric constructs. Simplicity and usability are the two key characteristics we have tried to embed into our index of vulnerabilities. We use the results to try to create a narrative of the evolution of vulnerabilities in emerging economies from 2005 to the third quarter of 2015, using innovative data visualisation tools as well as correlations and Granger causalities. We complement our analysis with a comparison between our index of vulnerabilities and the Credit-to-GDP gap.
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