Medical Research Council of South Africa.

Background Maternal and neonatal mortality is high in Africa, but few large, prospective studies have been done to investigate the risk factors associated with these poor maternal and neonatal outcomes. Methods A 7-day, international, prospective, observational cohort study was done in patients having caesarean delivery in 183 hospitals across 22 countries in Africa. The inclusion criteria were all consecutive patients (aged ≥18 years) admitted to participating centres having elective and non-elective caesarean delivery during the 7-day study cohort period. To ensure a representative sample, each hospital had to provide data for 90% of the eligible patients during the recruitment week. The primary outcome was in-hospital maternal mortality and complications, which were assessed by local investigators. The study was registered on the South African National Health Research Database, number KZ_2015RP7_22, and on ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT03044899. Findings Between February, 2016, and May, 2016, 3792 patients were recruited from hospitals across Africa. 3685 were included in the postoperative complications analysis (107 missing data) and 3684 were included in the maternal mortality analysis (108 missing data). These hospitals had a combined number of specialist surgeons, obstetricians, and anaesthetists totalling 0•7 per 100 000 population (IQR 0•2-2•0). Maternal mortality was 20 (0•5%) of 3684 patients (95% CI 0•3-0•8). Complications occurred in 633 (17•4%) of 3636 mothers (16•2-18•6), which were predominantly severe intraoperative and postoperative bleeding (136 [3•8%] of 3612 mothers). Maternal mortality was independently associated with a preoperative presentation of placenta praevia, placental abruption, ruptured uterus, antepartum haemorrhage (odds ratio 4•47 [95% CI 1•46-13•65]), and perioperative severe obstetric haemorrhage (5•87 [1•99-17•34]) or anaesthesia complications (11•47 (1•20-109•20]). Neonatal mortality was 153 (4•4%) of 3506 infants (95% CI 3•7-5•0). Interpretation Maternal mortality after caesarean delivery in Africa is 50 times higher than that of high-income countries and is driven by peripartum haemorrhage and anaesthesia complications. Neonatal mortality is double the global average. Early identification and appropriate management of mothers at risk of peripartum haemorrhage might improve maternal and neonatal outcomes in Africa.

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ObjectiveTo compare how 3 common representations (ordinal vs dichotomized as 0–1/2–6 or 0–2/3–6) of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS)—a commonly used trial outcome measure—relate to long-term outcomes, and quantify trial ineligibility rates based on premorbid mRS.MethodsIn consecutive patients with ischemic stroke in a population-based, prospective, cohort study (Oxford Vascular Study; 2002–2014), we related 3-month mRS to 1-year and 5-year disability and death (logistic regressions), and health/social care costs (generalized linear model), adjusted for age/sex, and compared goodness-of-fit values (C statistic, mean absolute error). We also calculated the proportion of patients in whom premorbid mRS score >1 or >2 would result in exclusion from trials using dichotomous analysis.ResultsAmong 1,607 patients, the ordinal mRS was more strongly related to 5-year mortality than both the 0–1/2–6 and 0–2/3–6 dichotomies (all p < 0.0001). Results were similar for 5-year disability, and 5-year care costs were also best captured by the ordinal model (change in mean absolute error vs age/sex: −$3,059 for ordinal, −$2,805 for 0–2/3–6, −$1,647 for 0–1/2–6). Two hundred forty-four (17.1%) 3-month survivors had premorbid mRS score >2 and 434 (30.5%) had mRS score >1; both proportions increased with female sex, socioeconomic deprivation, and age (all p < 0.0001).ConclusionThe ordinal form of the 3-month mRS relates better to long-term outcomes and costs in survivors of ischemic stroke than either dichotomy. This finding favors using ordinal approaches in trials analyzing the mRS. Exclusion of patients with higher premorbid disability by use of dichotomous primary outcomes will also result in unrepresentative samples.

Background and Purpose— Intraluminal thrombus (ILT) is an uncommon finding among patients with ischemic stroke. We report clinical-imaging manifestations, treatment offered, and outcome among patients with ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack and ILT in their cervico-cephalic arteries. Methods— Sixty-one of 3750 consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack (within 24 hours of onset) and ILT on initial arch-to-vertex computed tomography angiography from April 2015 through September 2017 constituted the prospective study cohort. Functional outcome was assessed using the modified Rankin Scale score with functional independence at discharge defined as modified Rankin Scale score ≤2. Results— Prevalence of ILT on computed tomography angiography was 1.6% (95% CI, 1.2%–2.1%). Median age was 67 years (interquartile range, 56–73), and 40 subjects (65%) were male. The initial clinical presentation included transient ischemic attack in 12 (20%) and stroke in 49 patients (80%); most strokes (76%) were mild (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale ≤5). The most common ILT location was cervical carotid or vertebral artery (n=48 [79%]) followed by intracranial (n=11 [18%]) and tandem lesions (n=2 [3%]). The most common initial treatment strategy was combination antithrombotics (heparin with single antiplatelet agent) among 57 patients (93%). Follow-up computed tomography angiography (n=59), after a median 6 days (interquartile range 4–10 days), revealed thrombus resolution in 44 patients (75% [completely in 27%]). Twenty four of 30 patients (80%) with >50% residual carotid stenosis underwent carotid revascularization (endarterectomy in 15 and stenting in 9 patients) without peri-procedural complications a median of 9 days after symptom onset. In-hospital stroke recurrence occurred in 4 patients (6.6%). Functional independence was achieved in 46 patients (75%) at discharge. Conclusions— Patients presenting with acute stroke/transient ischemic attack with ILT on baseline imaging have a favorable clinical course in hospital with low stroke recurrence, high rate of thrombus resolution, and good functional outcome when treated with combination antithrombotic therapy.