This paper overviews financial liberalization in three South Asian countries -Bangladesh, India and Pakistan -in order to derive lessons for future reforms. It investigates how freeing domestic financial markets, improving capital account convertibility, and restructuring regulations have impacted the process of financial liberalization in South Asia. The paper shows that the capital account was most liberalized in Pakistan, and that Bangladesh had the least market development of the three countries under consideration. The study also reveals that of the two similar-sized countries (i.e. Bangladesh and Pakistan), Pakistan had experienced several financial crises that had required "external rescue". Bangladesh, in contrast, needed external rescue only once. India did better than Pakistan and Bangladesh, most likely because it followed a strategic plan according to which full capital account liberalization followed the deepening of domestic markets and improvements to government finances. The experience of the global crisis validated the Indian strategy and demonstrated that foreign entry, while beneficial, cannot resolve all issues. We conclude that deepening domestic markets and better domestic and international regulation are necessary prerequisites for full convertibility, and that these preconditions will be best met if future liberalization is adapted to domestic needs such as financial inclusion, infrastructure finance, and market deepening.
Purpose: Treatment options are limited in patients with metastatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs). We present the results for a phase 2 trial of combination nivolumab and temozolomide in patients with advanced NEN along with results of immune changes in peripheral blood. Experimental Design: NCT03728361 is a nonrandomized, phase 2 study of nivolumab and temozolomide in patients with NEN. The primary endpoint was response rate using RECIST 1.1. Secondary endpoints included progression free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and safety. Immune profiling was performed by mass cytometry to evaluate the effect on peripheral blood immune cell subsets. Results: Among all 28 patients with NEN, the confirmed response rate was 9/28 (32.1%, 95% CI: 15.9%-52.4%). Of 11 patients with lung NEN, the response rate was 64% (n=7); there was a significant difference in responses by primary tumor location (lung vs others, p=0.020). The median PFS was 8.8 months (95% CI: 3.9 – 11.1 months), and median OS was 32.3 months (95% CI: 20.7 – NR months). Exploratory blood immune cell profiling revealed an increase in circulating CD8+ T cells (27.9±13.4% vs. 31.7±14.6%, p = 0.03) and decrease in CD4+ T cells (59.6±13.1% vs. 56.5±13.0%, p = 0.001) after 2 weeks of treatment. LAG-3 expressing total T cells were lower in patients experiencing a partial response (0.18±0.24% vs 0.83±0.55%, p = 0.028). MDSC levels increased during study and did not correlate with response. Conclusions: Combination nivolumab and temozolomide demonstrated promising activity in NEN.
The paper discusses past virtuous growth cycles in India and argues that the post Covid-19 macro-financial package is an opportunity to trigger another such cycle by raising marginal propensities to spend above those to save. This is feasible since the major constraints that aborted such cycles in the past are waning. Among these constraints are commodity price shocks and other supply-side bottlenecks; financial repression and discretionary allocation; and fiscal space. While the first constraint is relieved, and there is adequate progress on the others, fiscal space is still constrained. Even so, the Covid-19 crisis necessitates a large macroeconomic stimulus. In order not to overstrain government finances it should be targeted, temporary and self-limiting. Financing features can aid this as well as improve financial stability. Large government assets can be monetized to help restructure towards more effective government spending. Specific policy implications are drawn out.
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