Objective
Few studies have characterized the epidemiology of first episode psychoses in rural or urban settings since the introduction of Early Intervention Psychosis services. To address this, we conducted a naturalistic cohort study in England, where such services are well-established.
Method
We identified all new first episode psychosis cases, 16-35 years old, presenting to Early Intervention Psychosis services in the East of England, during 2 million person-years follow-up. Presence of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, F10-33 psychotic disorder was confirmed using OPCRIT. We estimated incidence rate ratios [IRR] following multivariable Poisson regression, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, neighborhood-level deprivation and population density.
Results
Of 1,005 referrals, 687 participants (68.4%) fulfilled epidemiological and diagnostic criteria for first episode psychosis (34.0 new cases per 100,000 person-years; 95%CI: 31.5-36.6). Median age-at-referral was similar (p=0.27) for men (22.5 years; interquartile range: 19.5-26.7) and women (23.4 years; 19.5-29.1); incidence rates were highest for men and women before 20 years old. Rates increased for ethnic minority groups (IRR: 1.4; 95%CI: 1.1-1.6), with lower socioeconomic status (IRR: 1.3: 95%CI: 1.2-1.4) and in more urban (IRR: 1.4; 95%CI: 1.0-1.8) and deprived neighborhoods (IRR: 2.1; 95%CI: 1.3-3.3) after adjustment for confounders.
Conclusions
Pronounced variation in psychosis incidence, peaking before 20 years old, exists in populations served by Early Intervention Psychosis services. Excess rates were restricted to urban and deprived communities, suggesting a threshold of socioenvironmental adversity may be necessary to increase incidence. This robust epidemiology can inform service development in various settings about likely population-level need.
ObjectiveSeveral ethnic minority groups experience elevated rates of first-episode psychosis (FEP), but most studies have been conducted in urban settings. We investigated whether incidence varied by ethnicity, generation status, and age-at-immigration in a diverse, mixed rural, and urban setting.MethodWe identified 687 people, 16–35 years, with an ICD-10 diagnosis of FEP, presenting to Early Intervention Psychosis services in the East of England over 2 million person-years. We used multilevel Poisson regression to examine incidence variation by ethnicity, rural–urban setting, generation status, and age-at-immigration, adjusting for several confounders including age, sex, socioeconomic status, population density, and deprivation.ResultsPeople of black African (incidence rate ratio: 4.06; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.63–6.25), black Caribbean (4.63; 95% CI: 2.38–8.98) and Pakistani (2.31; 95% CI: 1.35–3.94) origins were at greatest FEP risk relative to the white British population, after multivariable adjustment. Non-British white migrants were not at increased FEP risk (1.00; 95% CI: 0.77–1.32). These patterns were independently present in rural and urban settings. For first-generation migrants, migration during childhood conferred greatest risk of psychotic disorders (2.20; 95% CI: 1.33–3.62).ConclusionsElevated psychosis risk in several visible minority groups could not be explained by differences in postmigratory socioeconomic disadvantage. These patterns were observed across rural and urban areas of our catchment, suggesting that elevated psychosis risk for some ethnic minority groups is not a result of selection processes influencing rural–urban living. Timing of exposure to migration during childhood, an important social and neurodevelopmental window, may also elevate risk.
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