Antiseizure medication (ASM) is the primary treatment for epilepsy. In clinical practice, methods to assess ASM efficacy (predict seizure freedom or seizure reduction), during any phase of the drug treatment lifecycle, are limited. This scoping review identifies and appraises prognostic electroencephalographic (EEG) biomarkers and prognostic models that use EEG features, which are associated with seizure outcomes following ASM initiation, dose adjustment, or withdrawal. We also aim to summarize the population and context in which these biomarkers and models were identified and described, to understand how they could be used in clinical practice. Between January 2021 and October 2022, four databases, references, and citations were systematically searched for ASM studies investigating changes to interictal EEG or prognostic models using EEG features and seizure outcomes. Study bias was appraised using modified Quality in Prognosis Studies criteria. Results were synthesized into a qualitative review. Of 875 studies identified, 93 were included. Biomarkers identified were classed as qualitative (visually identified by wave morphology) or quantitative. Qualitative biomarkers include identifying hypsarrhythmia, centrotemporal spikes, interictal epileptiform discharges (IED), classifying the EEG as normal/abnormal/epileptiform, and photoparoxysmal response. Quantitative biomarkers were statistics applied to IED, high‐frequency activity, frequency band power, current source density estimates, pairwise statistical interdependence between EEG channels, and measures of complexity. Prognostic models using EEG features were Cox proportional hazards models and machine learning models. There is promise that some quantitative EEG biomarkers could be used to assess ASM efficacy, but further research is required. There is insufficient evidence to conclude any specific biomarker can be used for a particular population or context to prognosticate ASM efficacy. We identified a potential battery of prognostic EEG biomarkers, which could be combined with prognostic models to assess ASM efficacy. However, many confounders need to be addressed for translation into clinical practice.

Studying states and state transitions in the brain is challenging due to the nonlinear, complex dynamics present. In this research, we analyse the brain's response to non-invasive perturbations. Perturbation techniques offer a powerful method for studying complex dynamics, though their translation to human brain data is under-explored. This method involves applying small inputs, in this case via photic stimulation, to a system and measuring its response. Sensitivity to perturbations can forewarn a state transition, therefore biomarkers of the brain's perturbation response or 'cortical excitability' could be used to indicate seizure transitions. However, perturbing the brain often involves invasive intracranial surgeries or expensive equipment as in transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) which is only accessible to a minority of patient groups, or animal model studies. Photic stimulation is a widely used diagnostic technique in epilepsy that can be used as a non-invasive perturbation paradigm to probe brain dynamics during routine electroencephalography (EEG) studies in humans. This involves changing the frequency of strobing light, sometimes triggering a photo-paroxysmal response (PPR), which is an electrographic event that can be studied as a state transition to a seizure state. We investigate alterations in the response to these perturbations in patients with genetic generalised epilepsy (GGE), with (n=10) and without (n=10) PPR, and patients with psychogenic non-epileptic seizures (PNES; n=10), compared to resting controls (n=10). Metrics of EEG time-series data were evaluated as biomarkers of the perturbation response including variance, autocorrelation, and phase-based synchrony measures. We observed considerable differences in all group biomarker distributions during stimulation compared to controls. In particular, variance and autocorrelation demonstrated greater changes in epochs close to PPR transitions compared to earlier stimulation epochs. Comparison of PPR and spontaneous seizure morphology found them indistinguishable, suggesting PPR is a valid proxy for seizure dynamics. Also, as expected, posterior channels demonstrated the greatest change in synchrony measures, possibly reflecting underlying PPR pathophysiology mechanisms. We clearly demonstrate observable changes at a group level in cortical excitability in epilepsy patients as a response to perturbation in EEG data. Our work re-frames photic stimulation as a non-invasive perturbation paradigm capable of inducing measurable changes to brain dynamics.