Evaluating flood risk is an essential component of understanding and increasing community resilience. A robust approach for quantifying flood risk in terms of average annual loss (AAL) in dollars across multiple homes is needed to provide valuable information for stakeholder decision-making. This research develops a computational framework to evaluate AAL at the neighborhood level by owner/occupant type (i.e., homeowner, landlord, and tenant) for increasing first-floor height (FFH). The AAL values were calculated here by numerically integrating loss-exceedance probability distributions to represent economic annual flood risk to the building, contents, and use. A simple case study for a census block in Jefferson Parish, Louisiana, revealed that homeowners bear a mean AAL of $4,390 at the 100-year flood elevation (E100), compared with $2,960, and $1,590 for landlords and tenants, respectively, because the homeowner incurs losses to building, contents, and use, rather than only two of the three, as for the landlord and tenant. The results of this case study showed that increasing FFH reduces AAL proportionately for each owner/occupant type, and that two feet of additional elevation above E100 may provide the most economically advantageous benefit. The modeled results suggested that Hazus Multi-Hazard (Hazus-MH) output underestimates the AAL by 11% for building and 15% for contents. Application of this technique while partitioning the owner/occupant types will improve planning for improved resilience and assessment of impacts attributable to the costly flood hazard.
<p>Evaluating average annual loss (AAL) is an essential component of assessing and minimizing future flood risk. A robust method for quantifying flood AAL is needed to provide valuable information for stakeholder decision-making. Several recent studies suggest that the numerical integration method can provide meaningful AAL estimates since this technique includes the full loss&#8208;exceedance probability of flood. While past research focuses on applying the numerical integration method on a single, one-family residential house, calculations across space are necessary for assessing community vulnerability. This research develops a computational framework in MATLAB for integrating across the full loss-exceedance probability curve through space to evaluate flood AAL for multiple single-family homes, including loss to the structure, content, and time spent in refurbishing it (i.e., use), over a case-study census block in Jefferson Parish, Louisiana, USA. To further inform flood mitigation planning, the AAL is also calculated for one, two, three, and four feet of freeboard and separately for each owner-occupant type of residence (i.e., homeowner, landlord, and tenant). Although previous studies provided essential information related to the structure and content loss for one type for ownership-occupant type (homeowner), the wider scope of this study allows for consideration of the use loss and the remaining ownership-occupant types. Results show that individual building AAL varies within a community because of its building attributes. Besides, results highlight the difference of AALs by owner-occupant type, with homeowners generally bearing the highest total AAL and tenants incurring the lowest total AALs. A simple elevation of only one foot can decrease the AAL by as much as 90 percent. A sensitivity analysis underscores the importance of using the exact values of the base flood elevation (BFE) compared to rounding to the nearest integer and excluding damage lower than first flood height (FFH) in the depth-damage functions (DDFs). Expanding the application of the numerical integration method to a broad-scale study area may enhance validity and accuracy as compensating errors are likely to make bulk estimates more reasonable, which might augment its utility at the community level. In general, such techniques improve resilience to flood, the costliest natural hazard, by assisting in better understanding of risk with and without mitigation efforts.&#160;</p><p>&#160;</p>
Abstract. Flood risk to single-family rental housing remains poorly understood, leaving a large and increasing population underinformed to protect themselves, including regarding insurance. This research introduces a life-cycle benefit-cost analysis for the landlord, tenant, and insurer (i.e., National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)) to optimize freeboard (i.e., additional first-floor height above the base flood elevation (BFE)) selection for a rental single-family home. Flood insurance premium; apportioned flood risk among the landlord, tenant, and NFIP by insurance coverage and deductible; rental loss; moving and displacement costs; freeboard construction cost; and rent increase upon freeboard implementation are considered in estimating net benefit (NB) by freeboard. For a 2,500 square-foot case study home in Metairie, Louisiana, a two-foot freeboard optimizes the combined savings for landlord and tenant, with joint life-cycle NB of $23,658 and $14,978, for a 3 % and 7 % real discount rate, respectively. Any freeboard up to 2.5 feet benefits the tenant and NFIP, while the landlord benefits for freeboards up to 4.0 feet. Collectively, results suggest that at the time of construction, even minimal freeboard provides substantial savings for the landlord, tenant, and NFIP. The research provides actionable information, supporting the decision-making process for landlords, tenants, and others, thereby enhancing investment and occupation decisions.
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