Drought differs from other natural hazards in the fact that the initiation and the termination is extremely difficult to determine and that its drastic effects continue to persist well after the cessation of the event which adds to the complexity as well as the casualties. The Southern Agro Climatic Zone (ACZ) of Tamil Nadu is heavily rain shadowed during the South West Monsoon Season, several complications arise with respect to drought, causing crop failures and depleted moisture concentration in certain cases. With that idea in perspective, a study was conducted in Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore, India to study the frequency of drought over the Southern Agro-Climatic Zone of Tamil Nadu, India. Since precipitation that occurs over a region determines mainly the occurrence and cessation of drought events, precipitation-based Rainfall Deviation and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to quantify the extent of rainfall deficit or surplus over the region. The analysis of 30 years (1991 – 2020) historical rainfall data of various districts of the Southern Agroclimatic Zone of Tamil Nadu using SPI showed that the annual SPI value ranged from +3.3 to -4. The study showed that Tirunelveli and Thoothukudi districts were most prone to moderate drought and severe drought. The region showed more frequency of Moderate drought than Severe and Extreme drought.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a recurring climate pattern involving changes in the temperature of waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. The three phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) namely the neutral phase, El Niño and La Niña oscillations. El Niño refers to the above-average sea-surface temperatures that periodically develop across the east-central equatorial Pacific. It represents the warm phase of the ENSO cycle. La Niña refers to the periodic cooling of sea-surface temperatures across the east-central equatorial Pacific. The state of Karnataka is located on a table land in the angle where the Western and Eastern Ghat ranges converge into the Nilgiri hill complex. 41 year (1980-2020) average annual rainfall of Karnataka collected from the rain gauge station located under the farm universities of Karnataka and, SST and SOI data collected from NOAA were used to study the rainfall variability while ENSO events. The El Niño events will deviate the rainy winds towards eastern pacific region causing lesser rainfall on Indian sub-continent or draughts in some years, but when it comes to Karnataka El Niño events have given above average rainfall. There were 8 episodes of excess rainfall and 6 episodes of deficient rainfall during the 14 El Niño episodes, and 3 episodes of excess rainfall and 8 episodes of deficient rainfall during the 11 La Niña episodes. The remaining 16 episodes were neutral years, with 10 episodes having excessive rainfall and the remaining 6 having deficient rainfall. Hence the El Niño episodes is good when compared to La Niña episodes over Karnataka.
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