Background: Microalbuminuria is an early sign of kidney disease in diabetes and indicates cardiovascular risk. We tested if a prespecified urinary proteomic risk classifier (CKD273) was associated with development of microalbuminuria and if progression to microalbuminuria could be prevented with the mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist spironolactone. Methods: Prospective multicentre study in people with type 2 diabetes, normal urinary albumin excretion and preserved renal function in 15 European specialist centres. High-risk individuals determined by CKD273 were randomised 1:1 (interactive web response system) in a double-blind randomised controlled trial comparing spironolactone 25 mg o.d. to placebo. Primary endpoint was development of confirmed microalbuminuria in all individuals with available data. Secondary endpoints included reduction in incidence of microalbuminuria with spironolactone and association between CKD273 and impaired renal function defined as a glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min per 1•73 m 2. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02040441 and is completed. Findings: From March 25, 2014 to September 30, 2018 we followed 1775 participants, 12% (n=216) had high-risk urinary proteomic pattern of which 209 were included in the trial and assigned spironolactone (n=102) or placebo (n=107). Median follow-up time was 2•51 years (IQR 2•0-3•0). Progression to microalbuminuria was seen in 28•2% of high-risk and 8•9% of low-risk people (P< 0•001) (hazard ratio (HR), 2•48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1•80 to 3•42 P<0•001, independent of baseline clinical characteristics). A 30% decline in eGFR from baseline was seen in 42 (19•4 %) high-risk participants compared to 62 (3•9 %) low-risk participants, HR 5•15; 95 % CI (3•41 to 7•76; p<0.0001). Development of microalbuminuria was seen in 35 (33%) randomised to placebo and 26 (25%) randomised to spironolactone treatment (HR 0•81, 95% CI, 0•49 to 1•34, P=0•41). Harms: hyperkalaemia was seen in 13 versus 4, and gynaecomastia in 3 versus 0 subjects on spironolactone and placebo, respectively. Interpretation: In people with type 2 diabetes and normoalbuminuria, the urinary proteomic classifier CKD273 was associated with a 2•5 times increased risk for progression to microalbuminuria over a median of 2•5 years, independent of clinical characteristics. Spironolactone did not prevent progression to microalbuminuria in high-risk subjects.

Background COVID-19 prediction models based on clinical characteristics, routine biochemistry and imaging, have been developed, but little is known on proteomic markers reflecting the molecular pathophysiology of disease progression. Methods he multicentre (six European study sites) Prospective Validation of a Proteomic Urine Test for Early and Accurate Prognosis of Critical Course Complications in Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection Study (Crit-COV-U) is recruiting consecutive patients (≥ 18 years) with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. A urinary proteomic biomarker (COV50) developed by capillary-electrophoresis-mass spectrometry (CE-MS) technology, comprising 50 sequenced peptides and identifying the parental proteins, was evaluated in 228 patients (derivation cohort) with replication in 99 patients (validation cohort). Death and progression along the World Health Organization (WHO) Clinical Progression Scale were assessed up to 21 days after the initial PCR test. Statistical methods included logistic regression, receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis and comparison of the area under the curve (AUC). Findings in the derivation cohort, 23 patients died, and 48 developed worse WHO scores. The odds ratios (OR) for death per 1 standard deviation (SD) increment in COV50 were 3·52 (95% CI, 2·02–6·13, p <0·0001) unadjusted and 2·73 (1·25–5·95, p = 0·012) adjusted for sex, age, baseline WHO score, body mass index (BMI) and comorbidities. For WHO scale progression, the corresponding OR were 2·63 (1·80–3·85, p< 0·0001) and 3·38 (1·85–6·17, p< 0·0001), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for COV50 as a continuously distributed variable was 0·80 (0·72–0·88) for mortality and 0·74 (0·66–0·81) for worsening WHO score. The optimised COV50 thresholds for mortality and worsening WHO score were 0·47 and 0·04 with sensitivity/specificity of 87·0 (74·6%) and 77·1 (63·9%), respectively. On top of covariates, COV50 improved the AUC, albeit borderline for death, from 0·78 to 0·82 ( p = 0·11) and 0·84 ( p = 0·052) for mortality and from 0·68 to 0·78 ( p = 0·0097) and 0·75 ( p = 0·021) for worsening WHO score. The validation cohort findings were confirmatory. Interpretation this first CRIT-COV-U report proves the concept that urinary proteomic profiling generates biomarkers indicating adverse COVID-19 outcomes, even at an early disease stage, including WHO stages 1–3. These findings need to be consolidated in an upcoming final dataset.

Recently developed PCR systems offer online-monitoring of amplification and allow simple and reliable DNA quantification. We have used the LightCycler system to develop a simple and rapid method for direct identification of female carriers of deletions and duplications in the dystrophin gene. The challenge resides in the ability to identify the presence of a deleted or duplicated allele over the background contributed by the normal allele. Quantification is based on the determination of the ratio between potentially deleted/duplicated dystrophin exons and non-deleted/-duplicated reference exons using the unspecific dsDNA-dye SYBRgreen I. In a retrospective study, we evaluated our method in female relatives of DMD/BMD patients with known carrier status by comparative analysis of deleted or duplicated versus non-deleted/-duplicated exons. Carrier status was accurately attributed in 100% of cases, the mean ratios being 0.52+/-0.12 for deletion carriers (expected value: 0.5) and 1.56+/-0.18 for duplication carriers (expected value: 1.5) vs. 1.022+/-0.17 for non-carriers (expected value: 1.0). The method proved to be simple, rapid, reliable, and cost-effective. It may be used for direct determination of deletions/duplications in potential DMD/BMD carriers and may easily be adapted for other genetic conditions involving deletions and duplications.

We attempted endoscopic sphincterotomy in 35 patients previously subjected to Billroth II gastrectomy, and succeeded in 23 of them. It is often difficult to pass the instrument along the afferent loop and the sphincterotomy incision is seldom placed in an optimal position. Although we had complications in only 2 patpients, it is likely that spincterotomy carries a higher risk in Billroth II gastrectomy patients. It should therefore be reserved for patients who are at high risk for surgery.