This paper studies a single-item multi-period inventory model in which future prices of the purchased item are assumed to be determined by a Markovian stochastic process instead of being known with certainty. Convex holding and shortage costs and a set-up charge for ordering are assumed. Such a model applies to purchasing a commodity whose price fluctuates widely because of speculative activity and large variations in supply or demand. For both a finite and infinite planning horizon, the paper determines the form and bounds of optimal policies and discusses computational approaches exploiting structure.
The bond refunding problem is formulated as a multiperiod decision process in which future interest rates are determined by a Markovian stochastic process. It is assumed that a single bond is to be outstanding at a given time. Given the future requirements for debt financing, the decision maker must decide whether to keep his current bond or to refund by issuing a new bond at the current market interest rates. Over a finite planning horizon, the structure of policies which minimize expected total discounted costs is studied.
The machine replacement model studied assumes that, at the end of each discrete interval, the state of deterioration of a machine and the current cost of replacement become known. A decision to keep or to replace must then be made, given that future deterioration and costs are determined by a known Markovian process. A finite set of possible states of deterioration is considered, including a "failed" state at which replacement by a "new" machine must occur. The operating cost is an increasing function of the level of deterioration, and replacement cost is the difference between new machine cost and salvage value. For both a finite and infinite planning horizon, given current cost, the optimality of a "control level" policy is demonstrated. Linear programming and policy iteration methods exploiting problem structure for the calculation of optimal policies are derived.
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