No abstract

OBJECTIVE:To analyze the impact of model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) allocation policy on survival outcomes after liver transplantation (LT).INTRODUCTION:Considering that an ideal system of grafts allocation should also ensure improved survival after transplantation, changes in allocation policies need to be evaluated in different contexts as an evolutionary process.METHODS:A retrospective cohort study was carried out among patients who underwent LT at the University of Pernambuco. Two groups of patients transplanted before and after the MELD allocation policy implementation were identified and compared using early postoperative mortality and post‐LT survival as end‐points.RESULTS:Overall, early postoperative mortality did not significantly differ between cohorts (16.43% vs. 8.14%; p = 0.112). Although at 6 and 36‐months the difference between pre‐ vs. post‐MELD survival was only marginally significant (p = 0.066 and p = 0.063; respectively), better short, medium and long‐term post‐LT survival were observed in the post‐MELD period. Subgroups analysis showed special benefits to patients categorized as non‐hepatocellular carcinoma (non‐HCC) and moderate risk, as determined by MELD score (15‐20).DISCUSSION:This study ensured a more robust estimate of how the MELD policy affected post‐LT survival outcomes in Brazil and was the first to show significantly better survival after this new policy was implemented. Additionally, we explored some potential reasons for our divergent survival outcomes.CONCLUSION:Better survival outcomes were observed in this study after implementation of the MELD criterion, particularly amongst patients categorized as non‐HCC and moderate risk by MELD scoring. Governmental involvement in organ transplantation was possibly the main reason for improved survival.

. We used analysis of area under ROC (receiver operating characteristic) as a summary measure of the performance of the MELD score and assessed predictors of medium-term survival using univariate and multivariate analysis. Results Results ResultsResults Results: The cumulative survival of three, six, 12 and 24 months of the 208 patients studied was 85.1%, 79.3%, 74.5% and 71.1%, respectively. The preoperative MELD score showed a low discriminatory power for predicting survival after TH. By univariate analysis, we identified intraoperative transfusion of red blood cells (p <0.001) and platelets (p = 0.004) and type of venous hepatocaval anastomosis (p = 0.008) as significantly related to medium-term survival of the patients studied. However, by multivariate analysis only red blood cell transfusion was a significant independent predictor of outcome. Conclusion Conclusion Conclusion Conclusion Conclusion: The MELD score showed low overall accuracy for predicting post-transplant survival of patients studied, among which only intraoperative transfusion of red blood cells was identified as an independent predictor of survival in the medium term after TH.

No abstract