Abstract. Individual voters’ identification with a political party is believed to be a highly stable core of the political personality, and an ‘unmoved mover’ of political behaviour. In this article, the authors take advantage of a unique longitudinal database – the German Socio‐Economic Panel (GSOEP) – to test the basic premise of partisanship's high persistence. Analysing individual‐level data from 18 annual panel waves conducted in West Germany between 1984 and 2001, it was found that only a minority of the electorate appears steadfast with regard to partisanship over the entire period. Using event history analysis, the authors demonstrate how movements from partisanship into independence and changes between parties are affected by: personal attributes of voters, especially cognitive mobilisation; by properties of their social contexts, in particular spousal relationships and family constellations; by situational contexts, specifically election campaigns; and by the type of party with which voters identify.
Stage 8 of the German National Educational Panel Study focuses on the adult working age population in Germany and serves, in many respects, as a capstone for the National Educational Panel Study structure. Its main purpose is to collect data on adult education, on competence endowment and its development over the life course, and on returns to initial and adult education in a life-course perspective. The data includes a large number of theoretically informed determinants of adult education and competencies as well as information on how labor market and non-labor market outcomes are influenced by previous educational participation and 284 J. Allmendinger et al.competencies. With detailed information on learning environments at the workplace and in the household it will be possible to contextualize these determinants. The data allows immediate analyses of the adult population as well as the delivery of long-term perspectives on educational, occupational, and private life courses across various educational stages.
Erwachsenenbildung und lebenslanges LernenZusammenfassung: Etappe 8 bildet mit dem Fokus auf die Population von Erwachsenen im erwerbsfähigen Alter in vielerlei Hinsicht den Schlussstein der gesamten Erhebungsstruktur des Nationalen Bildungspanels. Diese Etappe sammelt insbesondere Daten zu formalen, nonformalen und informellen Weiterbildungsaktivitäten, zur Entwicklung von Kompetenzen im Erwachsenenalter und zu monetären und nicht-monetären Bildungserträgen von Erstausbildung und Weiterbildung über den Lebensverlauf. Die Daten beinhalten eine Vielzahl theoretisch abgeleiteter Determinanten zur Erklärung von Weiterbildungsverhalten, von Kompetenzen sowie von spezifischen Erträgen innerhalb und außerhalb des Arbeitsmarktes. Diese Determinanten sowie das Weiterbildungsverhalten, die Kompetenzen und die Bildungserträge selbst können durch zusätzlich erhobene Informationen zu Lernumwelten am Arbeitsplatz und im privaten Haushalt kontextualisiert werden. Die Daten der Etappe 8 ermöglichen durch die retrospektive Erhebung detaillierter Bildungs-, Arbeitsmarkt-und Haushaltsinformationen unmittelbar zahlreiche Analysen über verschiedene Lebensphasen hinweg. Durch den prospektiven Charakter der Panelstudie können darüber hinaus in den kommenden Jahren weitere soziologische, ökono-mische, psychologische und erziehungswissenschaftliche Theorien getestet werden.Schlüsselwörter: Weiterbildung · Lebensverlauf · Kompetenzentwicklung · Arbeitsmarkt · Panelstudie
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