Graphic warning labels on cigarette packs are noticed by the majority of adolescents, increase adolescents' cognitive processing of these messages and have the potential to lower smoking intentions. Our findings suggest that the introduction of graphic warning labels may help to reduce smoking among adolescents.
We used data from a prospective cohort study of twins to investigate the influence of unmeasured genetic and measured and unmeasured environmental factors on the smoking behaviour of adolescents and young adults. Twins were surveyed in 1988 (aged 11 -18 years), 1991, 1996 and 2004 with data from 1409, 1121, 732 and 758 pairs analysed from each survey wave, respectively. Questionnaires assessed the smoking behaviour of twins and the perceived smoking behaviour of friends and parents. Using a novel logistic regression analysis, we simultaneously modelled individual risk and excess concordance for current smoking as a function of zygosity, survey wave, parental smoking and peer smoking. Being concordant for having peers who smoked was a predictor of concordance for current smoking (Po0.001). After adjusting for peer smoking, monozygotic (MZ) pairs were no more alike than dizygotic pairs for current smoking at waves 2, 3 and 4. Genetic explanations are not needed to explain the greater concordance for current smoking among adult MZ pairs. However, if they are invoked, the role of genes may be due to indirect effects acting through the social environment. Smoking prevention efforts may benefit more by targeting social factors than attempting to identify genetic factors associated with smoking. Smoking is an important cause of preventable mortality and morbidity in later life (Ezzati and Lopez, 2004), so there is a need to understand the factors associated with its uptake and establishment. Twin studies have the potential to identify whether genetic factors might play a role in explaining individual variation in smoking behaviours. The observation that identical (monozygotic; MZ) twin pairs are more similar than same-sex non-identical (dizygotic; DZ) twin pairs is often interpreted as showing that genetic factors play a role, because this finding is consistent with such an explanation under the assumptions of the classic twin model (CTM). One of the main assumptions of the CTM is that the effects of the shared environment on the relevant trait are the same for MZ and DZ pairs (the equal environments assumption (EEA)). Under this assumption, any greater similarity for MZ pairs compared with DZ pairs is attributed to their greater genetic similarity.Using the CTM, studies of the smoking behaviour of adult twins have been interpreted as showing that genetic factors play a major role in both initiation and persistence of smoking (Carmelli et al,
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