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Background and Purpose: Early neurological deterioration (END) occurs in 10-40% of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients and has been associated with worse outcome. Recent improvements in treatment may have reduced the prevalence of END. A single early control or repeated observations have been applied to detect END close to occurrence, in order to improve the poor outcome associated with END, as clinical interventions may still be effective. Deterioration detected through repeated observations may be transitory or lead to END. Our aim was to study outcome after END and transitory deterioration (TD). Methods: In acute ischemic stroke patients, key Scandinavian Stroke Scale (SSS) items were scored 12 times from admission to 72 h. END was defined as ≥2 point decrease in any key SSS item from admission to 72 h. Early deterioration episode was defined as similar worsening between two consecutive assessments within 72 h, and TD as early deterioration episode in patients without END. Main outcome measures were odds ratios (OR) for worse functional outcome (including death) measured by modified Rankin scale at 90 days for END and TD compared with stable patients. Results: 368 patients were included. 13.9% had END and 28.3% had TD. Both deterioration groups were associated with worse outcome at 12 weeks compared with stable patients, with ORs of 35.1 (95% CI 8.8-140) for death/dependency and 5.8 (95% CI 1.8-19.4) for death in END patients and ORs of 2.3 (95% CI 1.1-4.8) for death/dependency and 1.9 (95% CI 0.5-6.3) for death in patients with TD. LOS increased by 6.4 days for END (p < 0.001) and 1.1 days for TD (p = 0.014) compared with stable patients. Conclusion: We found a strong association between END and worse outcome, and even TD doubled the OR for death/dependency compared to stable patients. Early deterioration episodes identified through frequent observations are therefore clinically significant and such frequent observations may detect worsening sufficiently close to occurrence for potentially effective treatment to be applied.

Background10-40% of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) suffer an early neurological deterioration (END), which may influence their long term prognosis. Multiple definitions of END exist, even in recently published papers. In the search for causes, various biochemical, clinical, and imaging markers have been found to be associated to END after AIS in some but not in other studies.The primary aim of this study is to assess the contribution of END to functional level at 3 months post stroke measured by modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Secondary aims are to identify factors and mechanisms associated with END and to define the prevalence, degree and timing of END in relation to stroke onset, and to compare Scandinavian Stroke Scale (SSS) and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) based END-definitions.We hypothesized that END detected by changes in NIHSS and SSS (according to previously published criteria) at a threshold of 2 points indicate worsened prognosis, and that SSS is not inferior to NIHSS in predicting such a change. We further hypothesized that clinical deterioration has several causes, including impaired physiological homeostasis, vascular pathology, local effects and reactions secondary to the ischemic lesion, along with biochemical disturbances.MethodsSingle-centre prospective observational study.Participants: Previously at home-dwelling patients admitted to our stroke unit within 24 hours after ictus of AIS are included into the study, and followed for 3 months. They are managed according to current procedures and national guidelines. A total of 368 patients are included by the end of the enrolment period (December 31st 2013), and the material will be opened for analysis by June 30th 2014.Frequent neurological assessments, continuous monitoring, and repeated imaging and blood samples are performed in all patients in order to test the hypotheses.DiscussionStrengths and weaknesses of our approach, along with reasons for the methods chosen in this study are discussed.