Background Infant mortality is defined as the death of a child at any time after birth and before the child’s first birthday. Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest infant and child mortality rate in the world. Infant and child mortality rates are higher in Ethiopia. A study was carried out to estimate the risk factors that affect infant mortality in Ethiopia. Method The EDHS− 2016 data set was used for this study. A total of 10,547 mothers from 11 regions were included in the study’s findings. To estimate the risk factors associated with infant mortality in Ethiopia, several count models (Poisson, Negative Binomial, Zero-Infated Poisson, Zero-Infated Negative Binomial, Hurdle Poisson, and Hurdle Negative Binomial) were considered. Result The average number of infant deaths was 0.526, with a variance of 0.994, indicating over-dispersion. The highest mean number of infant death occurred in Somali (0.69) and the lowest in Addis Ababa (0.089). Among the multilevel log linear models, the ZINB regression model with deviance (17,868.74), AIC (17,938.74), and BIC (1892.97) are chosen as the best model for estimating the risk factors affecting infant mortality in Ethiopia. However, the results of a multilevel ZINB model with a random intercept and slope model revealed that residence, mother’s age, household size, mother’s age at first birth, breast feeding, child weight, contraceptive use, birth order, wealth index, father education level, and birth interval are associated with infant mortality in Ethiopia. Conclusion Infant deaths remains high and infant deaths per mother differ across regions. An optimal fit was found to the data based on a multilevel ZINB model. We suggest fitting the ZINB model to count data with excess zeros originating from unknown sources such as infant mortality.
Background Mycobacterium leprae causes leprosy, which is a long-term or recurrent infection. The causative agent’s collusion with Schwann cells results in the irreversible loss of fringe nerve tissue; followed by incapacity, which includes not just actual impotence but also mental incapacity, creates a bad image of the transformed, resulting in segregation and societal humiliation of leprosy patients, as well as their families. Methods This study’s survival analysis includes a sample of 205 patients who were taking leprosy medication and had all essential data from January 2015 to December 2019 G.C. at the All African TB and Leprosy Rehabilitation and Training Centre. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to figure out what factors influence leprosy patients’ survival status during treatment. Results Among the 205 leprosy patients, 71 (34.63%) had at least one type of impairment grade during treatment. The Cox proportional model revealed that the most significant variables of impairment among leprosy patients were age, symptom duration, treatment category, living place, and sensory loss. Conclusion The study investigated and revealed characteristics associated with the survival status of leprosy patients in ALRT centers using survival analysis. Patients’ risk of worsening disability grade increased with age, was greater for patients with a long duration of symptom, was higher for defaulter patients, and was lower for patients who did not lose their sensibility throughout therapy. The existence of a difference in the survival curves between two or more groups of factors for the patient’s survival function was also discovered in this inquiry. Female patients, particularly those who were new to the medication, were shown to be more in their survival.
In Ethiopia, community-based health insurance was implemented to promote equitable access to sustainable quality health care and increase financial protection. The purpose of this study was to identify factors associated with community-based Health Insurance, Health Care Service Utilization of Households in the South Gondar Zone. A community-based cross-sectional study was employed. Data were collected among 619 randomly selected households in the south Gondar zone. Chi-square and binary logistic regression analyses with a P-Value of less than .05 were used to determine the association. Out of the total households, 511(82.6%) were using the CBHI scheme for health care service utilization. Residence, marital status, education level, occupation status, family size, presence of under-five children in the household, presence of elders in the households, nearest health institution, presence of chronic illness in the household’s, time taken to reach health institution, an attitude of a household were the determinant factors of community-based health insurance scheme health care service utilization of households. It is recommended that the local, regional and national governments, policymakers on optimal actions, NGOs, and other supporting organizations shall improve or scale-up the scheme by providing awareness to the community based on these significant factors and the attitude of households.
Background Leprosy is an illness persisting for a long time or constantly recurring brought about by Mycobacterium leprae. The collusion of the causing agent with Schwann cells leads to incapable of being changed loss of fringe nerve tissue; followed by incapacity and that is not restricted to actual powerlessness yet additionally makes a negative picture, prompting segregation and social disgrace against the altered people also, their families. Methods The analysis of this study comprises 205 samples of patients at All African TB and Leprosy Rehabilitation and Training Centre from January 2015 up to December 2019 G.C who were taking medication for leprosy and who possess all necessary data. Territorial conditions in the region of the patients were utilized as a clustering impact in all frailty models. Acceleration failure time models and parametric shared frailty models with Weibull and log-strategic patterns were utilized to dissect hazard factors related to disability ensued by leprosy. All fitted models were looked at by utilizing AIC. Results From that of 205, 69(33.7%) experienced at least one kind of disability grade during treatment taking. In light of AIC, log-logistic-gamma shared frailty model was the final best fitting model and also there was considerable variation among patients. The final model showed the age of patients, symptom duration, treatment category of patients, and sensory loss were found to be the most significant determinants of leprosy disability. Conclusion In this investigation, there is proof of heterogeneity at the group level and disability was related to the age of patients, symptom duration, treatment category of patient, what’s more, sensory loss subsequently, uncommon consideration ought to be given to these huge indicators, which eventually diminish the event of disability. To lessen the patient-related postponement, the program should lay more noteworthy accentuation on bringing issues to light in the local area by zeroing in on key messages like indications, inability result of the late discovery, accessibility of free treatment what’s more, accessibility of disease care in general wellbeing office.
Background: Globally, heart failure is a rapidly growing public health issue with an estimated prevalence of >37.7 million individuals. It is a shared chronic phase of cardiac functional impairment secondary to many etiologies. The main purpose of this study was to identify factors that affect the longitudinal changes of pulse rate and survival endpoints, time-to default among Congestive Heart Failure Patients in Felege- Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.Methods: Hospital based retrospective studies were conducted among 302 congestive heart failure patients who were 15 years old or older and who were on treatment follow-up from the first February 2016 to thirty-one December 2018 in Felege-Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. First, data were analyzed using linear mixed model and survival models separately, and then the joint models of both sub-models were analyzed by linked their shared unobserved random effects using a shared parameter model. Results: Out of the total 302 CHF treatment followers, 103 (34.1%) of the patients were defaulting from treatment. The mean pulse rate of female and male patients was 87.25 and 90.20, respectively. Averagely 51.12 % of blood in the left ventricle is pushed out with each heartbeat. The results for separate and joint models were quite similar to each other but not identical. However, the estimated association parameter (α) in the joint model is (HR=1.0311, 95%CI: 1.0033,1.0597, P=0.0278), providing there is evidence of a positive association between the survival and the longitudinal sub-models. Thus, defaulting is more likely to occur in patients with higher pulse rates. Patients, being male, hypertensive, CKD, pneumonic, and NYHA class IV patients were associated with a higher risk of defaulting. Age, LVIF, follow-up time in a month had a negative significant effect and NYHA class, and male gender had a positive significant effect on average evaluation of pulse rate of patients. Conclusions: The patient who are male, NYHA class IV, had low LVIF and comorbid with hypertensive, CKD, pneumonia were risk factors of pulse rate change and defaulting from treatment of CHF patients. The joint model was preferred for simultaneous analyses of repeated measurement and survival data.
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