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This study established an interpretable machine learning model to predict the severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and output the most crucial deterioration factors. Clinical information, laboratory tests, and chest computed tomography (CT) scans at admission were collected. Two experienced radiologists reviewed the scans for the patterns, distribution, and CT scores of lung abnormalities. Six machine learning models were established to predict the severity of COVID-19. After parameter tuning and performance comparison, the optimal model was explained using Shapley Additive explanations to output the crucial factors. This study enrolled and classified 198 patients into mild ( n = 162 ; 46.93 ± 14.49 years old) and severe ( n = 36 ; 60.97 ± 15.91 years old) groups. The severe group had a higher temperature ( 37.42 ± 0.99 °C vs. 36.75 ± 0.66 °C), CT score at admission, neutrophil count, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio than the mild group. The XGBoost model ranked first among all models, with an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.924, 90.91%, and 97.96%, respectively. The early stage of chest CT, total CT score of the percentage of lung involvement, and age were the top three contributors to the prediction of the deterioration of XGBoost. A higher total score on chest CT had a more significant impact on the prediction. In conclusion, the XGBoost model to predict the severity of COVID-19 achieved excellent performance and output the essential factors in the deterioration process, which may help with early clinical intervention, improve prognosis, and reduce mortality.

Objectives. To build and validate random forest (RF) models for the classification of bone tumors based on the conventional radiographic features of the lesion and patients’ clinical characteristics, and identify the most essential features for the classification of bone tumors. Materials and Methods. In this retrospective study, 796 patients (benign bone tumors: 412 cases, malignant bone tumors: 215 cases, intermediate bone tumors: 169 cases) with pathologically confirmed bone tumors from Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University, Foshan Hospital of TCM, and University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital were enrolled. RF models were built to classify tumors as benign, malignant, or intermediate based on conventional radiographic features and potentially relevant clinical characteristics extracted by three musculoskeletal radiologists with ten years of experience. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to identify the most essential features for the classification of bone tumors. The diagnostic performance of the RF models was quantified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results. The features extracted by the three radiologists had a satisfactory agreement and the minimum intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was 0.761 (CI: 0.686-0.824, P < .001 ). The binary and tertiary models were built to classify tumors as benign, malignant, or intermediate based on the imaging and clinical features from 627 and 796 patients. The AUC of the binary (19 variables) and tertiary (22 variables) models were 0.97 and 0.94, respectively. The accuracy of binary and tertiary models were 94.71% and 82.77%, respectively. In descending order, the most important features influencing classification in the binary model were margin, cortex involvement, and the pattern of bone destruction, and the most important features in the tertiary model were margin, high-density components, and cortex involvement. Conclusions. This study developed interpretable models to classify bone tumors with great performance. These should allow radiographers to identify imaging features that are important for the classification of bone tumors in the clinical setting.