We estimate slip rates on major active faults in southern California using a block model constrained by Global Positioning System measurements of interseismic deformation. The block model includes the effects of block rotation and elastic strain accumulation consistent with a simple model of the earthquake cycle. Our estimates of the right‐lateral strike‐slip rate on the San Andreas fault vary by at least a factor of 5, from a high of 35.9 ± 0.5 mm/yr in the Carrizo Plain to a low of 5.1 ± 1.5 mm/yr through the San Bernadino segment. Shortening across the Puente Hills Thrust and left‐lateral slip on the Raymond Hill fault are consistent with both thickening and escape tectonics in the Los Angeles Basin. Discrepancies between geodetic and geologic slip rate estimates along the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults, as well as in the Eastern California Shear Zone, may be explained by a temporal change in fault system behavior. We find no substantial evidence for long‐term postseismic relaxation and infer that the viscosity of the lower crust/upper mantle may be relatively high (η > 1019 Pa s).
Measurements at ∼400 campaign‐style GPS points and another 14 continuously recording stations in central Asia define variations in their velocities both along and across the Kyrgyz and neighboring parts of Tien Shan. They show that at the longitude of Kyrgyzstan the Tarim Basin converges with Eurasia at 20 ± 2 mm/yr, nearly two thirds of the total convergence rate between India and Eurasia at this longitude. This high rate suggests that the Tien Shan has grown into a major mountain range only late in the evolution of the India‐Eurasia collision. Most of the convergence between Tarim and Eurasia within the upper crust of the Tien Shan presumably occurs by slip on faults on the edges of and within the belt, but 1–3 mm/yr of convergence is absorbed farther north, at the Dzungarian Alatau and at a lower rate with the Kazakh platform to the west. The Tarim Basin is thrust beneath the Tien Shan at ∼4–7 mm/yr. With respect to Eurasia, the Ferghana Valley rotates counterclockwise at ∼0.7° Myr−1 about an axis at the southwest end of the valley. Thus, GPS data place a bound of ∼4 mm/yr on the rate of crustal shortening across the Chatkal and neighboring ranges on the northwest margin of the Ferghana Valley, and they limit the present‐day slip rate on the right‐lateral Talas‐Ferghana fault to less than ∼2 mm/yr. GPS measurements corroborate geologic evidence indicating that the northern margin of the Pamir overthrusts the Alay Valley and require a rate of at least 10 and possibly 15 mm/yr.
Density contrasts in the lower mantle, recently imaged using seismic tomography, drive convective flow which results in kilometers of dynamically maintained topography at the core-mantle boundary and at the Earth's surface. The total gravity field due to interior density contrasts and boundary topography predicts the largest wavelength components, of the geoid remarkably well.Neglecting dynamic surface deformation leads to geoid anomalies of opposite sign than are observed.
Geoid anomalies are primarily the result of the density contrasts driving mantle convection and plate motion. The total geoid anomaly resulting from a given density contrast in a convecting earth is affected by the mass anomalies associated with the flow‐induced deformation of the upper surface and internal compositional boundaries as well as by the density contrast itself. These boundary deformations, and hence the total gravity field, depend on the radial distribution of effective viscosity. If the internal density contrasts can be estimated, as is the case for subducted slabs, useful constraints can be placed on the depth and on the variation of viscosity with depth of the convecting system. The degree 4–9 components of the observed long‐wavelength geoid are highly correlated with those predicted by a density model for seismically active subducted slabs. The (positive) sign of the correlation requires that the effective viscosity increases with depth by a factor of 30 or more. The amplitude of the correlation cannot be explained by the density contrasts associated with just the seismically active parts of subducted slabs, however. The amplitude can be explained if the density contrasts associated with subduction extend into the lower mantle or if old lithosphere is piled up at the base of the upper mantle beneath subduction zones to a thickness in excess of 350 km over horizontal distances of thousands of kilometers. Mantlewide convection in a mantle that has a viscosity increasing with depth provides a simple explanation of the long‐wavelength geoid anomalies over subduction zones.
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