Prolonged migration windows buffer migratory animal populations against uncertainty in resource availability. Understanding how intensifying droughts from climate change influence the migration window is critical for biodiversity conservation in a warming world. We explored how drought affects the seaward migration of endangered coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) near the southern extent of their range in California, USA. We tracked stream departures of juvenile coho, measuring streamflow and temperature in seven streams over 13 years, spanning a historic drought with extreme dry and warm conditions. Linear mixed effects models indicate that, over the range of observations, a decrease in seasonal streamflow (from 4.5 to 0.5 mm/day seasonal runoff) contracted the migration window by 31% (from 11 to 7 weeks). An increase from 10.2 to 12.8°C in mean seasonal water temperature hastened the migration window by three weeks. Pacific salmon have evolved to synchronize ocean arrival with productive ocean upwelling. However, earlier and shorter migration windows during drought could lead to mismatches, decreasing fitness and population stability. Our study demonstrates that drought‐induced low flows and warming threaten coho salmon in California and suggests that environmental flow protections will be needed to support the seaward migration of Pacific salmon in a changing climate.
Streamflow depletion is occurring globally, due to land use change, climate change, and increasing human water demand. Ecological effects of low flows are particularly significant for diadromous fish, which require connected stream networks to migrate between fresh and marine waters. In coastal California, USA, drying streams are known to limit rearing habitat for juvenile salmon, but effects on their seaward migration remain poorly understood. In this study, we evaluated the outmigration of endangered, juvenile coho salmon ( Oncorhynchus kisutch) during the late spring flow recession in four streams over 10 years. We monitored the outmigration of fish tagged with passive integrated transponders via detections at stationary antennas, and we measured stream water depths when movement was detected. We assessed depths at multiple riffle crest thalwegs (RCTs), the shallowest geomorphic feature that fish must navigate. Finally, we calculated population-level outmigration depth preferences by evaluating depths during fish movement, relative to depths available during the potential outmigration window. Juvenile fish moved over a wide range of depths (interquartile range 6.1–18.0 cm), which varied by year and stream. Fish ceased to move at shallow water depths, which limited late-season outmigration as stream drying occurred. Our findings suggest that management actions to increase streamflow during the spring would benefit salmon outmigration and could contribute to population recovery. Streamflow-RCT depth relationships, used to assess coho depth preferences during movement, is a relatively simple and effective method for assessing environmental flow needs, a priority for aquatic conservation in California and globally.
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