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Distinguishing management effects from the inherent variability in a system is a key consideration in assessing reserve efficacy. Here, we demonstrate how seascape heterogeneity, defined as the spatial configuration and composition of coral reef habitats, can mask our ability to discern reserve effects. We then test the application of a landscape approach, utilizing advances in benthic habitat mapping and GIS techniques, to quantify this heterogeneity and alleviate the confounding influence during reserve assessment. Seascape metrics were quantified at multiple spatial scales using a combination of spatial image analysis and in situ surveys at 87 patch reef sites in Glover's Reef Lagoon, Belize, within and outside a marine reserve enforced since 1998. Patch reef sites were then clustered into classes sharing similar seascape attributes using metrics that correlated significantly to observed variations in both fish and coral communities. When the efficacy of the marine reserve was assessed without including landscape attributes, no reserve effects were detected in the diversity and abundance of fish and coral communities, despite 10 years of management protection. However, grouping sites based on landscape attributes revealed significant reserve effects between site classes. Fish had higher total biomass (1.5×) and commercially important biomass (1.75×) inside the reserve and coral cover was 1.8 times greater inside the reserve, though direction and degree of response varied by seascape class. Our findings show that the application of a landscape classification approach vastly improves our ability to evaluate the efficacy of marine reserves by controlling for confounding effects of seascape heterogeneity and suggests that landscape heterogeneity should be considered in future reserve design.

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The 2014-2017 Global Coral Bleaching Event is the longest, most widespread, and impactful on record. Rapid ecological assessment surveys by NOAA's Pacific Reef Assessment and Monitoring Program reported widespread coral mortality at Jarvis Island in the aftermath of the 2015-2016 super-El Nin ˜o warming event; hard coral cover declined from 18.7% in April 2015 (pre-bleaching) to 0.4% in May 2016 (post-bleaching), representing a catastrophic [ 98% decline. Between 2015 and 2016, corals at Jarvis experienced maximum heat stress of 22.25 °C-weeks exceeding the bleaching threshold (28.72 °C) for 66 consecutive weeks. Mass coral bleaching was observed in November 2015, which resulted in mass mortality across all coral taxa, depths, and island sectors.The bleaching event altered the benthic community composition including the coral assemblage. In the 2 yrs postbleaching, the benthic community has transitioned from a short-lived increase of encrusting macroalgae to a more recent near-recovery of crustose coralline algae. Coral cover had not recovered by 2017 and could be potentially delayed by fast-growing turf algae. Within the coral community, the pre-bleaching dominant genus Montipora exhibited extreme mortality and only a handful of colonies of this taxon were enumerated in the 2016 surveys and none in 2017. Some coral taxa have persisted in low densities, including the ESA-threatened Acropora retusa and colonies of encrusting Pavona, Psammocora, and the free living Fungia. As the frequency and intensity of these hightemperature events is projected to increase in coming years, it is essential to track how remote ecosystems normally undisturbed by human influence, such as Jarvis, respond to a climate change.