The progress of viral diseases such as the new coronavirus (COVID-19) can be influenced not only by social isolation policies, but also by climatic factors. Understanding how these factors affect the progress of the pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) may be essential to know the risks each country is facing because of the disease. In this study, we verified the existence of a relationship between the basic reproduction number (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 with different climate variables, while also considering the Global Health Security Index (GHS). We collected data from confirmed cases of COVID-19 along with their respective GHS notes and climate data, from December 31, 2019 to April 13, 2020, for 52 countries. The generalized additive model (GAM) was applied to explore the effect of temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation index, and GHS score on the spread rate of COVID-19. The countries that showed similarity to each other were grouped into clusters using the Kohonen self-organizing map methodology to investigate the importance of each variable in the dissemination of the disease. The temperature variable presented a linear relationship ( p < 0.001) with the R0, with an explained variation of 36.2%, while the relative humidity variable did not present a significant relationship with the R0. The response curve of the solar radiation variable presented a significant nonlinear relationship ( p < 0.001) with an explained variation of 32.3%. The GHS index variable, with a significant nonlinear relationship ( p < 0.001), presented the largest explanatory response in the control of COVID-19, with an explained variation of 38.4%; further, it was observed that the countries with the largest GHS index scores were less influenced by climate variables.

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The selection of better-evaluated genotypes for a target region depends on the characterization of the climate conditions of the environment. With the advancement of computer technology and daily available information about the weather, integrating such information in selection and interaction genotype x environment studies has become a challenge. This article presents the use of the technique of artificial neural networks associated with reaction norms for the processing of climate and geo-referenced data for the study of genetic behaviors and the genotype-environment interaction of soybean genotypes. The technique of self-organizing maps (SOM) consists of competitive learning between two layers of neurons; one is the input, which transfers the data to the map, and the other is the output, where the topological structure formed by the competition generates weights, which represent the dissimilarity between the neural units. The methodologies used to classify these neurons and form the target populations of environments (TPE) were the discriminant analysis (DA) and the principal component analysis (PCA). To study soybean genetic behavior within these TPEs, the random regression model was adopted to estimate the components of variance, and the reaction norms were adjusted through the Legendre polynomials. The SOM methodology allowed for an explanation of 99% of the variance of the climate data and the formation of well-structured TPEs, with the membership probability of the regions within the TPEs above 80%. The formation of these TPEs allowed us to identify and quantify the response of the genotypes to sensitive changes in the environment.