Background and objectives: The diagnosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) is usually based on changes in serum creatinine, which is a poor marker of early renal dysfunction. The discriminative and predictive abilities of serum and urinary cystatin C were examined for the prediction of AKI.Design, setting, participants, & measurements: In this prospective cohort study, serum and urinary cystatin C were serially measured in a heterogeneous group of patients (n ؍ 616) presenting to a tertiary care emergency department. The primary outcome was AKI, classified according to RIFLE and AKIN criteria. The secondary outcome was an adjudication based on clinical criteria to AKI, prerenal azotemia, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and normal kidney function.Results: Patients were adjudicated to have AKI in 21.1%, prerenal azotemia in 25.8%, CKD in 2.4%, and normal kidney function in 50.7%. For the diagnosis of AKI, the discriminatory ability of urinary creatinine and cystatin C was marginal. Both serum cystatin C and serum creatinine (at presentation and 6 hours later) showed high discriminatory ability for the diagnosis of AKI. However, only serum cystatin C attained a significant early predictive power (Hosmer-Lemeshow P value > 0.05). Serum cystatin C could differentiate between AKI and prerenal azotemia, but not between AKI and CKD.Conclusions: Serum cystatin C is an early, predictive biomarker of AKI, which outperforms serum creatinine in the heterogeneous emergency department setting. However, neither biomarker discriminated between AKI and CKD. Additional biomarkers continue to be needed for improved specificity in the diagnosis of community-acquired AKI.
SummaryBackground and objectives The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin as a marker of AKI in patients admitted from the emergency department.Design, setting, participants, & measurements In this prospective cohort study, patients (n=616) admitted from the emergency department from March to November of 2008 were classified according to clinical criteria as AKI, transient azotemia, stable CKD, and normal function. Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin was measured serially. A logistic regression model using clinical characteristics was fitted to the data, and a second model included discretized plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin. Performance of the models was evaluated by Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement, and predictiveness curve.Results Twenty-one percent of patients were classified as AKI; the highest median levels of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin were in the AKI group (146-174 ng/ml at various time points) and increased with AKI severity (207-244 ng/ml for Acute Kidney Injury Network classification stage.2). The discriminative ability of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin for AKI diagnosis (area under the curve, 0.77-0.82 at various time points) improved with higher grades of severity (area under the curve, 0.85-0.89 for AKIN.2). Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin discriminated AKI from normal function and transient azotemia (area under the curve, 0.85 and 0.73, respectively). Patients were classified into three grades of AKI risk according to plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin levels (low, moderate [i.e., the gray zone], and high). Patients with plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin in the high-risk category displayed a 10-fold greater risk of AKI (odds ratio, 9.8; 95% confidence interval, 5.6 to 16.9). The addition of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin to the clinical model yielded a net reclassification improvement of 94.3% and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.122.Conclusion Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin is an accurate biomarker for prediction of AKI in patients admitted from the emergency department. This work proposes a three-grade classification of AKI risk based on plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin levels.
We investigated whether community-acquired acute kidney injury encountered in a tertiary hospital emergency department setting increases the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality, and whether plasma biomarkers could improve the prediction of those adverse outcomes. In a prospective cohort study, we enrolled 616 patients at admission to the emergency department and followed them for a median of 62.1 months. Within this cohort 130 patients were adjudicated as having acute kidney injury, 159 transient azotemia, 15 stable CKD and 312 normal renal function. Serum cystatin C and plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) were measured at index admission. After adjusting for clinical variables, the risk of developing CKD stage 3, as well as the risk of death, were increased in the acute kidney injury group (hazard ratio (HR) 5.7 (95% confidence interval, 3.8–8.7) and HR 1.9 (95% confidence interval, 1.3–2.8), respectively). The addition of serum cystatin C increased the ability to predict the risk of developing CKD stage 3, and death (HR 1.5 (1.1–2.0) and 1.6 (1.1–2.3) respectively). The addition of plasma NGAL resulted in no improvement in predicting CKD stage 3 or mortality (HR 1.0 (0.7–1.5) and 1.2 (0.8–1.8), respectively). The risk of developing CKD stage 3 was also significantly increased in the transient azotemia group (HR 2.4 (1.5–3.6). Thus, an episode of community acquired acute kidney injury markedly increases the risk of CKD, and moderately increases the risk of death. Our findings highlight the importance of follow up of patients with community acquired acute kidney injury, for potential early initiation of renal protective strategies.
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