Dry Afromontane forests form the largest part of the existing natural vegetation in Ethiopia. Nevertheless, models for quantifying aboveground tree biomass (AGB) of these forests are rare. The objective of this study was, therefore, to develop local multispecies and species-specific AGB models for dry Afromontane forests in northern Ethiopia and to test the accuracy of some potentially relevant, previously developed AGB models. A total of 86 sample trees consisting of ten dominant tree species were harvested to develop the models. A set of models relating AGB to diameter at breast height (DBH) or at stump height (DSH), height (H), crown area (CA), and wood basic density (ρ) were fitted. Model evaluation and selection was based on statistical significance of model parameter estimates, relative mean root-square-error (rMRSE), relative bias (rBias), and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). A leave-one-out cross-validation procedure was used to compute rMRSE and rBias. The best multispecies model, which includes DSH, CA, and ρ as predictors, explained more than 95% of the variability in AGB. The best species-specific models for the two dominant species, with DBH or DSH as the sole predictor, also explained more than 96% of the variability in AGB. Higher biases from the previously published models compared to the best models from this study show the need to develop local models for more accurate biomass estimation. The developed models allow to quantify AGB with a high level of accuracy for our site, and they can potentially be applied in dry Afromontane forests elsewhere in Ethiopia if species composition and growing conditions are carefully evaluated before an application is done.
Boswellia papyrifera is a multipurpose deciduous species that grows in Combretum -Terminalia deciduous woodlands of Ethiopia. It is widely known for its commercial frankincense production. The B. papyrifera woodland is under a problematic state of population decline due to heavy encroachment and unsustainable tapping. To sustainably manage such a sensitive ecosystem needs exact knowledge of growth rates and age structure of trees where such information on tropical trees under natural condition is rather poor. In this study growth rate and age of B. papyrifera was determined from tree ring analysis. The study was carried out in Lemlem Terara, Metema district, Ethiopia. The mean annual diameter growth rate of B. papyrifera derived from the mean ring-width is 2.32mm and varies among sample trees. All sampled trees showed a comparable general growth trend which can be divided into three phases -i) good growth in the beginning, ii) phase with depression in middle and iii) increase in ring width. The average age of B. papyrifera trees growing in the study site is estimated to be about 75 years. Although there is strong correlation between diameter of a tree and age, the result from this study highlighted that age-size relations should be used cautiously as the diameter may not reflect the true age. The result from this study is important input to develop strategic plan for the species regarding tapping frequency and intensity as per the annual increment of the species. For further dendrochronological studies of the species, it is recommended to take samples from different size classes and slope gradients for better and reliable results. In future, the use of tree ring analysis as a tool to understand growth dynamics and age structure of trees species, and their response to climate variability should be strengthen in Ethiopian.
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