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Co-evolutive neural network models, which obtain the best forecasts (an almost 90% "good" classification), make it possible to predict daily airborne Poaceae pollen concentrations. This new system based on neural network models is a step toward the automation of the pollen forecast process.

In this paper, two neural network threshold ensemble models are proposed for ordinal regression problems. For the first ensemble method, the thresholds are fixed a priori and are not modified during training. The second one considers the thresholds of each member of the ensemble as free parameters, allowing their modification during the training process. This is achieved through a reformulation of these tunable thresholds, which avoids the constraints they must fulfill for the ordinal regression problem. During training, diversity exists in different projections generated by each member is taken into account for the parameter updating. This diversity is promoted in an explicit way using a diversity-encouraging error function, extending the well-known negative correlation learning framework to the area of ordinal regression, and inheriting many of its good properties. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithms can achieve competitive generalization performance when considering four ordinal regression metrics.

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