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The NASA Artemis program will send humans to the lunar south polar region, in part to investigate the availability of water ice and other in situ resources. While trace amounts of ice have been detected at the surface of polar permanently shadowed regions (PSRs), recent studies suggest that large ice deposits could be stable below cold traps in the PSRs over geologic time. A recent study modeling the rate of ice delivery, ejecta deposition and ice loss from cold traps predicted that gigatons of ice could be buried below 100s of meters of crater ejecta and regolith. However, crater ejecta vigorously mix the target on impact through ballistic sedimentation, which may disrupt buried ice deposits. Here, we developed a thermal model to predict ice stability during ballistic sedimentation events. We then modeled cold trap ice and ejecta stratigraphy over geologic time using Monte Carlo methods. We found that ballistic sedimentation disrupted large ice deposits in most cases, dispersing them into smaller layers. Ice retention decreased in most cases, but varied significantly with the sequence of ejecta delivery, particularly from basin‐forming events. Over many model runs, we found that south polar craters Amundsen, Cabeus, and Cabeus B were most likely to retain large deposits of ice at depths up to 100 m, shallow enough to be detectable with ground‐penetrating radar. We discuss these findings in the context of the imminent human exploration activities at the lunar south pole.

Space weathering is the combination of processes that physically and chemically alter the surfaces of airless bodies over time. On the Moon, space weathering darkens and reddens the optical spectrum through formation of fine metallic iron particles, termed submicroscopic iron (smFe 0 ; Cassidy & Hapke, 1975;Hapke, 2001;Pieters et al., 2000). The optical effects of smFe 0 are highly dependent on its size: smaller nanophase iron particles (1-40 nm) cause optical darkening and reddening, and larger microphase iron particles (40 nm-2 μm, sometimes called Britt-Pieters particles) darken without reddening (

Surface heterogeneities below the spatial resolution of thermal infrared (TIR) instruments result in anisothermality and can produce emissivity spectra with negative slopes toward longer wavelengths. Sloped spectra arise from an incorrect assumption of either a uniform surface temperature or a maximum emissivity during the temperature‐emissivity separation of radiance data. Surface roughness and lateral mixing of different sub‐pixel surface units result in distinct spectral slopes with magnitudes proportional to the degree of temperature mixing. Routine Off‐nadir Targeted Observations (ROTO) of the Thermal Emission Imaging Spectrometer (THEMIS) are used here for the first time to investigate anisothermality below the spatial resolution of THEMIS. The southern flank of Apollinaris Mons and regions within the Medusae Fossae Formation are studied using THEMIS ROTO data acquired just after local sunset. We observe a range of sloped TIR emission spectra dependent on the magnitude of temperature differences within a THEMIS pixel. Spectral slopes and wavelength‐dependent brightness temperature differences are forward‐modeled for a series of two‐component surfaces of varying thermal inertia values. Our results imply that differing relative proportions of rocky and unconsolidated surface units are observed at each ROTO viewing geometry and suggest a local rock abundance six times greater than published results that rely on nadir data. High‐resolution visible images of these regions indicate a mixture of surface units from boulders to dunes, providing credence to the model.