Uncovering the mechanisms underlying the diffusion of vaccine hesitancy is crucial in fighting epidemic spreading. Toward this ambitious goal, we treat vaccine hesitancy as an opinion, whose diffusion in a social group can be shaped over time by the influence of personal beliefs, social pressure, and other exogenous actions, such as pro-vaccine campaigns. We propose a simple mathematical model that, calibrated on survey data, can predict the modification of the pre-existing individual willingness to be vaccinated and estimate the fraction of a population that is expected to adhere to an immunization program. This work paves the way for enabling tools from network control towards the simulation of different intervention plans and the design of more effective targeted pro-vaccine campaigns. Compared to traditional mass media alternatives, these model-based campaigns can exploit the structural properties of social networks to provide a potentially pivotal advantage in epidemic mitigation.
Our ability to control network dynamical systems is often hindered by constraints on the number and nature of the available control actions, which make controlling the whole network unfeasible. In this manuscript, we focus on the case where unilateral inputs are exerted on a subset of the network nodes. Leveraging the observation that, different from the case of subsystems, unilateral node reachability and controllability are equivalent, we provide conditions for a given node subset to be unilaterally controllable. The theoretical findings are then employed to develop a computationally efficient heuristic to select the nodes where the unilateral inputs should be injected.
This letter studies how opinions and subsequent actions of groups of individuals are shaped by opinion leaders, nowadays denoted influencers. We model an influencer as a pinner that exerts a control input on a small subset of individuals, and leverages the interaction network to affect the action of a large fraction of individuals. We provide sufficient conditions so that a given agent takes the same action as the pinner. Based on these conditions, we design a heuristic for the pinned node selection that maximizes the number of nodes taking the action elected by the pinner. The performance of the heuristic is then numerically tested against standard pinning strategies.
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